Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high

Blood plasma viral loads and the time to progress to AIDS differ widely among untreated HIV-infected humans. Although people with certain HLA (HLA-I) alleles are more likely to control HIV infections without therapy, the majority of such untreated individuals exhibit high viral loads and progress to...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Read, Elizabeth L., Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A., Chakraborty, Arup K
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Medical Engineering & Science
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) 2013
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/78837
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1268-9602
_version_ 1826204352146046976
author Read, Elizabeth L.
Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A.
Chakraborty, Arup K
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Medical Engineering & Science
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Medical Engineering & Science
Read, Elizabeth L.
Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A.
Chakraborty, Arup K
author_sort Read, Elizabeth L.
collection MIT
description Blood plasma viral loads and the time to progress to AIDS differ widely among untreated HIV-infected humans. Although people with certain HLA (HLA-I) alleles are more likely to control HIV infections without therapy, the majority of such untreated individuals exhibit high viral loads and progress to AIDS. Stochastic effects are considered unimportant for evolutionary dynamics in HIV-infected people when viral load is high or when selective forces strongly drive mutation. We describe a computational study of host–pathogen interaction demonstrating that stochastic effects can have a profound influence on disease dynamics, even in cases of high viral load and strong selective pressure. These stochastic effects are pronounced when the virus must traverse a fitness “barrier” in sequence space to escape the host’s cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response, as often occurs when a fitness defect imposed by a CTL-driven mutation must be compensated for by other mutations. These “barrier-crossing” events are infrequent and stochastic, resulting in divergent disease outcomes in genetically identical individuals infected by the same viral strain. Our results reveal how genetic determinants of the CTL response control the probability with which an individual is able to control HIV infection indefinitely, and thus provide clues for vaccine design.
first_indexed 2024-09-23T12:52:55Z
format Article
id mit-1721.1/78837
institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
language en_US
last_indexed 2024-09-23T12:52:55Z
publishDate 2013
publisher National Academy of Sciences (U.S.)
record_format dspace
spelling mit-1721.1/788372022-09-28T10:39:48Z Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high Read, Elizabeth L. Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A. Chakraborty, Arup K Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Institute for Medical Engineering & Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Biological Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemical Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Chemistry Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Physics Ragon Institute of MGH, MIT and Harvard Chakraborty, Arup K. Read, Elizabeth L. Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A. Blood plasma viral loads and the time to progress to AIDS differ widely among untreated HIV-infected humans. Although people with certain HLA (HLA-I) alleles are more likely to control HIV infections without therapy, the majority of such untreated individuals exhibit high viral loads and progress to AIDS. Stochastic effects are considered unimportant for evolutionary dynamics in HIV-infected people when viral load is high or when selective forces strongly drive mutation. We describe a computational study of host–pathogen interaction demonstrating that stochastic effects can have a profound influence on disease dynamics, even in cases of high viral load and strong selective pressure. These stochastic effects are pronounced when the virus must traverse a fitness “barrier” in sequence space to escape the host’s cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response, as often occurs when a fitness defect imposed by a CTL-driven mutation must be compensated for by other mutations. These “barrier-crossing” events are infrequent and stochastic, resulting in divergent disease outcomes in genetically identical individuals infected by the same viral strain. Our results reveal how genetic determinants of the CTL response control the probability with which an individual is able to control HIV infection indefinitely, and thus provide clues for vaccine design. Jane Coffins Childs Foundation Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Ragon Institute of MGH, MIT and Harvard National Institutes of Health (U.S.) (Director’s Pioneer Award) 2013-05-07T15:58:38Z 2013-05-07T15:58:38Z 2012-10 2012-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0027-8424 1091-6490 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/78837 Read, E. L., A. A. Tovo-Dwyer, and A. K. Chakraborty. “Stochastic Effects Are Important in Intrahost HIV Evolution Even When Viral Loads Are High.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109.48 (2012): 19727–19732. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1268-9602 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1206940109 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) PNAS
spellingShingle Read, Elizabeth L.
Tovo-Dwyer, Allison A.
Chakraborty, Arup K
Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title_full Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title_fullStr Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title_short Stochastic effects are important in intrahost HIV evolution even when viral loads are high
title_sort stochastic effects are important in intrahost hiv evolution even when viral loads are high
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/78837
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1268-9602
work_keys_str_mv AT readelizabethl stochasticeffectsareimportantinintrahosthivevolutionevenwhenviralloadsarehigh
AT tovodwyerallisona stochasticeffectsareimportantinintrahosthivevolutionevenwhenviralloadsarehigh
AT chakrabortyarupk stochasticeffectsareimportantinintrahosthivevolutionevenwhenviralloadsarehigh