Political Economy in a Changing World

We provide a general framework for the analysis of the dynamics of institutional change (e.g., democratization, extension of political rights or repression of different groups), and how these dynamics interact with (anticipated and unanticipated) changes in the distribution of political power and in...

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Main Authors: Acemoglu, Daron, Ergorov, Georgy, Sonin, Konstantin
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79347
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author Acemoglu, Daron
Ergorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
author_facet Acemoglu, Daron
Ergorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
author_sort Acemoglu, Daron
collection MIT
description We provide a general framework for the analysis of the dynamics of institutional change (e.g., democratization, extension of political rights or repression of different groups), and how these dynamics interact with (anticipated and unanticipated) changes in the distribution of political power and in economic structure. We focus on the Markov Voting Equilibria, which require that economic and political changes should take place if there exists a subset of players with the power to implement such changes and who will obtain higher expected discounted utility by doing so. Assuming that economic and political institutions as well as individual types can be ordered, and preferences and the distribution of political power satisfy natural single crossing (increasing differences) conditions, we prove the existence of a pure-strategy equilibrium, provide conditions for its uniqueness, and present a number of comparative static results that apply at this level of generality. We then use this framework to study the dynamics of political rights and repression in the presence of radical groups that can stochastically grab power. We characterize the conditions under which the presence of radicals leads to repression (of less radical groups), show a type of path dependence in politics resulting from radicals coming to power, and identify a novel strategic complementarity in repression.
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spelling mit-1721.1/793472019-04-11T11:06:27Z Political Economy in a Changing World Acemoglu, Daron Ergorov, Georgy Sonin, Konstantin Markov Voting Equilibrium dynamics median voter stochastic shocks extension of franchise repression We provide a general framework for the analysis of the dynamics of institutional change (e.g., democratization, extension of political rights or repression of different groups), and how these dynamics interact with (anticipated and unanticipated) changes in the distribution of political power and in economic structure. We focus on the Markov Voting Equilibria, which require that economic and political changes should take place if there exists a subset of players with the power to implement such changes and who will obtain higher expected discounted utility by doing so. Assuming that economic and political institutions as well as individual types can be ordered, and preferences and the distribution of political power satisfy natural single crossing (increasing differences) conditions, we prove the existence of a pure-strategy equilibrium, provide conditions for its uniqueness, and present a number of comparative static results that apply at this level of generality. We then use this framework to study the dynamics of political rights and repression in the presence of radical groups that can stochastically grab power. We characterize the conditions under which the presence of radicals leads to repression (of less radical groups), show a type of path dependence in politics resulting from radicals coming to power, and identify a novel strategic complementarity in repression. 2013-06-19T00:58:23Z 2013-06-19T00:58:23Z 2013-06-18 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79347 en_US Working paper, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics;13-12 application/pdf Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Markov Voting Equilibrium
dynamics
median voter
stochastic shocks
extension of franchise
repression
Acemoglu, Daron
Ergorov, Georgy
Sonin, Konstantin
Political Economy in a Changing World
title Political Economy in a Changing World
title_full Political Economy in a Changing World
title_fullStr Political Economy in a Changing World
title_full_unstemmed Political Economy in a Changing World
title_short Political Economy in a Changing World
title_sort political economy in a changing world
topic Markov Voting Equilibrium
dynamics
median voter
stochastic shocks
extension of franchise
repression
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79347
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