Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Maro, Judith C
Other Authors: Deborah J. Nightingale and Roy Welsch.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79548
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author Maro, Judith C
author2 Deborah J. Nightingale and Roy Welsch.
author_facet Deborah J. Nightingale and Roy Welsch.
Maro, Judith C
author_sort Maro, Judith C
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description Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013.
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spelling mit-1721.1/795482019-04-11T11:11:50Z Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products Maro, Judith C Deborah J. Nightingale and Roy Welsch. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division. Engineering Systems Division. Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 193-212). This dissertation focuses on the capabilities of a novel public health data system - the Sentinel System - to supplement existing postmarket surveillance systems of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The Sentinel System is designed to identify and assess safety risks associated with drugs, therapeutic biologics, vaccines, and medical devices that emerge post-licensure. Per the initiating legislation, the FDA must complete a priori evaluations of the Sentinel System's technical capabilities to support regulatory decision-making. This research develops qualitative and quantitative tools to aid the FDA in such evaluations, particularly with regard to the Sentinel System's novel sequential database surveillance capabilities. Sequential database surveillance is a "near real-time" sequential statistical method to evaluate pre-specified exposure-outcome pairs. A "signal" is detected when the data suggest an excess risk that is statistically significant. The qualitative tool - the Sentinel System Pre- Screening Checklist - is designed to determine whether the Sentinel System is well suited, on its face, to evaluate a pre-specified exposure-outcome pair. The quantitative tool - the Sequential Database Surveillance Simulator - allows the user to explore virtually whether sequential database surveillance of a particular exposure-outcome pair is likely to generate evidence to identify and assess safety risks in a timely manner to support regulatory decision-making. Particular attention is paid to accounting for uncertainties including medical product adoption and utilization, misclassification error, and the unknown true excess risk in the environment. Using vaccine examples and the simulator to illustrate, this dissertation first demonstrates the tradeoffs associated with sample size calculations in sequential statistical analysis, particularly the tradeoff between statistical power and median sample size. Second, it demonstrates differences in performance between various surveillance configurations when using distributed database systems. Third, it demonstrates the effects of misclassification error on sequential database surveillance, and specifically how such errors may be accounted for in the design of surveillance. Fourth, it considers the complexities of modeling new medical product adoption, and specifically, the existence of a "dual market" phenomenon for these new medical products. This finding raises non-trivial generalizability concerns regarding evidence generated via sequential database surveillance when performed immediately post-licensure. by Judith C. Maro. Ph.D. 2013-07-10T14:53:44Z 2013-07-10T14:53:44Z 2013 2013 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79548 851390956 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 251 p. application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Engineering Systems Division.
Maro, Judith C
Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title_full Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title_fullStr Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title_full_unstemmed Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title_short Postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
title_sort postmarket sequential database surveillance of medical products
topic Engineering Systems Division.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79548
work_keys_str_mv AT marojudithc postmarketsequentialdatabasesurveillanceofmedicalproducts