The Network Structure of Economic Output

Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they export. We characterize this network using four structural fea...

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Main Authors: Hausmann, Ricardo, Hidalgo Ramaciotti, Cesar A.
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Springer-Verlag 2013
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79849
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6031-5982
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author Hausmann, Ricardo
Hidalgo Ramaciotti, Cesar A.
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Hausmann, Ricardo
Hidalgo Ramaciotti, Cesar A.
author_sort Hausmann, Ricardo
collection MIT
description Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they export. We characterize this network using four structural features: the negative relationship between the diversification of a country and the average ubiquity of its exports, and the non-normal distributions for product ubiquity, country diversification and product co-export. We model the structure of the network by assuming that products require a large number of non-tradable inputs, or capabilities, and that countries differ in the completeness of the set of capabilities they have. We solve the model assuming that the probability that a country has a capability and that a product requires a capability are constant and calibrate it to the data to find that it accounts well for all of the network features except for the heterogeneity in the distribution of country diversification. In the light of the model, this is evidence of a large heterogeneity in the distribution of capabilities across countries. Finally, we show that the model implies that the increase in diversification that is expected from the accumulation of a small number of capabilities is small for countries that have a few of them and large for those with many. This implies that the forces that help drive divergence in product diversity increase with the complexity of the global economy when capabilities travel poorly.
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spelling mit-1721.1/798492022-09-30T18:40:11Z The Network Structure of Economic Output Hausmann, Ricardo Hidalgo Ramaciotti, Cesar A. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory Program in Media Arts and Sciences (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) Hidalgo, Cesar A. Much of the analysis of economic growth has focused on the study of aggregate output. Here, we deviate from this tradition and look instead at the structure of output embodied in the network connecting countries to the products that they export. We characterize this network using four structural features: the negative relationship between the diversification of a country and the average ubiquity of its exports, and the non-normal distributions for product ubiquity, country diversification and product co-export. We model the structure of the network by assuming that products require a large number of non-tradable inputs, or capabilities, and that countries differ in the completeness of the set of capabilities they have. We solve the model assuming that the probability that a country has a capability and that a product requires a capability are constant and calibrate it to the data to find that it accounts well for all of the network features except for the heterogeneity in the distribution of country diversification. In the light of the model, this is evidence of a large heterogeneity in the distribution of capabilities across countries. Finally, we show that the model implies that the increase in diversification that is expected from the accumulation of a small number of capabilities is small for countries that have a few of them and large for those with many. This implies that the forces that help drive divergence in product diversity increase with the complexity of the global economy when capabilities travel poorly. 2013-08-14T13:29:08Z 2013-08-14T13:29:08Z 2011-12 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 1381-4338 1573-7020 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79849 Hausmann, Ricardo, and César A. Hidalgo. “The Network Structure of Economic Output.” Journal of Economic Growth 16.4 (2011): 309–342. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6031-5982 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10887-011-9071-4 Journal of Economic Growth Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ application/pdf Springer-Verlag arXiv
spellingShingle Hausmann, Ricardo
Hidalgo Ramaciotti, Cesar A.
The Network Structure of Economic Output
title The Network Structure of Economic Output
title_full The Network Structure of Economic Output
title_fullStr The Network Structure of Economic Output
title_full_unstemmed The Network Structure of Economic Output
title_short The Network Structure of Economic Output
title_sort network structure of economic output
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/79849
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6031-5982
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