Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation

Thesis (S.M. in Technology and Policy)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise
Other Authors: Frank R. Field, III.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/80896
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author Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise
author2 Frank R. Field, III.
author_facet Frank R. Field, III.
Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise
author_sort Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise
collection MIT
description Thesis (S.M. in Technology and Policy)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013.
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spelling mit-1721.1/808962019-04-10T12:42:29Z Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise Frank R. Field, III. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division. Engineering Systems Division. Thesis (S.M. in Technology and Policy)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2013. This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections. Cataloged from student-submitted PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 139-143). Conventional criticality-assessment methods drawn from the existing literature are often limited to evaluations of scarcity risks, or rely on price as an indicator of criticality. Such approaches, however, are ill-suited to a firm's material procurement planning. A simulation tool - the m:5 model - has been developed to model the behavior and dynamics of materials markets. Grounded on economic theory, the model also draws upon the characteristics of mining economics and market imperfections, while offering a flexible structure adaptable to different markets and requiring few inputs. The m:5 model has been designed to enable manufacturers and policy-makers to compare the outcomes of different scenarios, informing decisions about material purchasing and market regulation. Model results illustrate common behaviors of materials markets viewed as critical, such as those of Rare Earth Elements and Platinum Group Metals. Analyses illustrate the interaction between demand growth rate and market concentration, as well as the impact of price elasticity of demand on market behaviors. Moreover, an effective recycling stream is shown to be an efficient policy to mitigate price excursions, especially in the presence of disruptive events. A variety of potential private and public mitigating policies are assessed in light of model results, to address common risks encountered in critical materials markets. In addition, this thesis presents how the model can be used to actually develop and compare such policies. While the initial purposes of the model - namely, enabling scenario comparisons and gaining qualitative insights on specific materials markets - has been fulfilled in this work, future developments on the model could include the endogenous treatment of recycling and adding price-responsiveness to the handling of stock, so as to refine its correspondence to actual markets' behaviors. by Claire Marie Franc̦oise Poulizac. S.M.in Technology and Policy 2013-09-24T18:22:24Z 2013-09-24T18:22:24Z 2013 2013 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/80896 858280281 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 143 p. application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Engineering Systems Division.
Poulizac, Claire Marie Franc̦oise
Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title_full Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title_fullStr Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title_full_unstemmed Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title_short Modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
title_sort modeling mining economics and materials markets to inform criticality assessment and mitigation
topic Engineering Systems Division.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/80896
work_keys_str_mv AT poulizacclairemariefrancoise modelingminingeconomicsandmaterialsmarketstoinformcriticalityassessmentandmitigation