On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times
This paperr examines the validity of the Erlang distribution for runway service times. It uses high-fidelity surface surveillance data, for the first time, to model the probability distributions of runway service times and departure throughput, and to validate the Erlang service time assumption. The...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile
2013
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81186 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8624-7041 |
| _version_ | 1826214178434580480 |
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| author | Balakrishnan, Hamsa Simaiakis, Ioannis |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Balakrishnan, Hamsa Simaiakis, Ioannis |
| author_sort | Balakrishnan, Hamsa |
| collection | MIT |
| description | This paperr examines the validity of the Erlang distribution for runway service times. It uses high-fidelity surface surveillance data, for the first time, to model the probability distributions of runway service times and departure throughput, and to validate the Erlang service time assumption. The paper proposes several potential approaches to determine departure runway service time distributions from empirical data, and compares the results. In particular, it finds that a displaced exponential fit may be a better match to the empirical service time distribution than an Erlang distribution. However, the computational benefits offered by the Erlang service time distribution, its accurate reflection of the means and variances of the empirical service time and throughput distributions, and its ability to represent the tail of the service time distribution, make it attractive for use in queuing models of airport operations. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T16:01:20Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/81186 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T16:01:20Z |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publisher | Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/811862022-09-29T17:42:27Z On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times Balakrishnan, Hamsa Simaiakis, Ioannis Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Balakrishnan, Hamsa Simaiakis, Ioannis This paperr examines the validity of the Erlang distribution for runway service times. It uses high-fidelity surface surveillance data, for the first time, to model the probability distributions of runway service times and departure throughput, and to validate the Erlang service time assumption. The paper proposes several potential approaches to determine departure runway service time distributions from empirical data, and compares the results. In particular, it finds that a displaced exponential fit may be a better match to the empirical service time distribution than an Erlang distribution. However, the computational benefits offered by the Erlang service time distribution, its accurate reflection of the means and variances of the empirical service time and throughput distributions, and its ability to represent the tail of the service time distribution, make it attractive for use in queuing models of airport operations. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (Cyber-Physical Systems Award 0931843) 2013-09-26T12:45:59Z 2013-09-26T12:45:59Z 2013-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/ConferencePaper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81186 Balakrishnan, Hamsa, & Simaiakis, Ioannis. (2013). On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times. Paper presented at Interdisciplinary Science for Innovative Air Traffic Management (ISIATM) International Conference, Toulouse, France. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8624-7041 en_US http://isiatm.enac.fr/program/ Proceedings of the Interdisciplinary Science for Innovative Air Traffic Management (ISIATM 2013) International Conference Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ application/pdf Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile MIT web domain |
| spellingShingle | Balakrishnan, Hamsa Simaiakis, Ioannis On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title | On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title_full | On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title_fullStr | On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title_full_unstemmed | On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title_short | On the Probabilistic Modeling of Runway Inter-departure Times |
| title_sort | on the probabilistic modeling of runway inter departure times |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81186 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8624-7041 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT balakrishnanhamsa ontheprobabilisticmodelingofrunwayinterdeparturetimes AT simaiakisioannis ontheprobabilisticmodelingofrunwayinterdeparturetimes |