Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy

This paper's findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSP) air pollution is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental empirical approach is...

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Main Authors: Chen, Yuyu, Ebenstein, Avraham, Greenstone, Michael, Li, Hongbin
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81438
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author Chen, Yuyu
Ebenstein, Avraham
Greenstone, Michael
Li, Hongbin
author_facet Chen, Yuyu
Ebenstein, Avraham
Greenstone, Michael
Li, Hongbin
author_sort Chen, Yuyu
collection MIT
description This paper's findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSP) air pollution is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental empirical approach is based on China's Huai River policy, which provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in cities North of the Huai River but denied heat to the South. Using a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSP are about 184 μg/m3 (95% CI: 61, 307) or 55% higher in the North. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about 5.5 (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) years lower in the North due to an increased incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 μg/m3 of TSP is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of about 3.0 years (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6).
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spelling mit-1721.1/814382019-04-12T11:10:22Z Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy Chen, Yuyu Ebenstein, Avraham Greenstone, Michael Li, Hongbin Life expectancy, air pollution, particulate matter, Chinese policy, Huai This paper's findings suggest that an arbitrary Chinese policy that greatly increases total suspended particulates (TSP) air pollution is causing the 500 million residents of Northern China to lose more than 2.5 billion life years of life expectancy. The quasi-experimental empirical approach is based on China's Huai River policy, which provided free winter heating via the provision of coal for boilers in cities North of the Huai River but denied heat to the South. Using a regression discontinuity design based on distance from the Huai River, we find that ambient concentrations of TSP are about 184 μg/m3 (95% CI: 61, 307) or 55% higher in the North. Further, the results indicate that life expectancies are about 5.5 (95% CI: 0.8, 10.2) years lower in the North due to an increased incidence of cardiorespiratory mortality. More generally, the analysis suggests that long-term exposure to an additional 100 μg/m3 of TSP is associated with a reduction in life expectancy at birth of about 3.0 years (95% CI: 0.4, 5.6). Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 2013-10-18T23:34:04Z 2013-10-18T23:34:04Z 2013-10-18 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81438 en_US MIT Department of Economics Working Paper Series;13-15 application/pdf Cambridge, MA: Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Life expectancy, air pollution, particulate matter, Chinese policy, Huai
Chen, Yuyu
Ebenstein, Avraham
Greenstone, Michael
Li, Hongbin
Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title_full Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title_fullStr Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title_full_unstemmed Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title_short Evidence on the impact of Sustained Exposure to Air Pollution on Life Expectancy from China's Huai River Policy
title_sort evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from china s huai river policy
topic Life expectancy, air pollution, particulate matter, Chinese policy, Huai
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/81438
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