Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, 2013.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chavas, Daniel Robert
Other Authors: Kerry A. Emanuel
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/82308
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author Chavas, Daniel Robert
author2 Kerry A. Emanuel,
author_facet Kerry A. Emanuel,
Chavas, Daniel Robert
author_sort Chavas, Daniel Robert
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description Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, 2013.
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spelling mit-1721.1/823082019-04-12T20:18:28Z Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium Chavas, Daniel Robert Kerry A. Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences. Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, 2013. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 147-154). Tropical cyclone size remains an unsolved problem in tropical meteorology, yet size plays a significant role in the damage caused by tropical cyclones due to wind, storm surge, and inland freshwater flooding. This work explores size, defined as the radius of vanishing wind, in observations and at equilibrium in an idealized numerical model. First, a climatology of size is created from the QuikSCAT database of near-surface wind vectors for the years 1999-2008. Globally, the distribution of the outer radius is found to be log-normal, with statistically significant variation across ocean basins, but with minimal correlation with various dynamic and thermodynamic parameters. Second, the sensitivity of the structure of a numerically-simulated axisymmetric tropical cyclone at statistical equilibrium to the set of relevant model, initial, and environmental external parameters is explored. The analysis is performed in a highly-idealized state of radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE). The non-dimensional equilibrium radial wind profile is found to be modulated primarily by a single nondimensional parameter given by the ratio of the storm radial length scale to the parameterized eddy radial length scale. The relevant storm length scale is shown to be the ratio of the potential intensity to the Coriolis parameter, matching the prediction for the "natural" storm length scale in prevailing axisymmetric tropical cyclone theory. The outer storm circulation is further modulated by a second non-dimensional parameter that represents the non-dimensional Ekman suction rate. Third, size is explored in three-dimensional "tropical cyclone world" simulations, with preliminary results confirming the relevant length scale obtained in axisymmetry. Ultimately, the results of the equilibrium storm analysis are insufficient to explain the observed distribution of tropical cyclone size, but they provide the first steps toward a more fundamental understanding of the dynamics of size. by Daniel Robert Chavas. Ph.D. 2013-11-18T19:06:49Z 2013-11-18T19:06:49Z 2013 2013 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/82308 861505760 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 154 p. application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences.
Chavas, Daniel Robert
Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title_full Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title_fullStr Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title_full_unstemmed Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title_short Tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative-convective equilibrium
title_sort tropical cyclone size in observations and in radiative convective equilibrium
topic Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/82308
work_keys_str_mv AT chavasdanielrobert tropicalcyclonesizeinobservationsandinradiativeconvectiveequilibrium