Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain

Often, in a health care delivery chain, lack of coordination has been detrimental to timely, high quality care. This paper focuses on the two steps of the hospital health care delivery chain, an emergency department and a hospital’s inpatient units. Past research into this chain has suggested t...

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Main Authors: Peck, Jordan, Gaehde, Stephan, Benneyan, James, Graves, Stephen, Nightingale, Deborah
Format: Technical report
Published: 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/84017
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author Peck, Jordan
Gaehde, Stephan
Benneyan, James
Graves, Stephen
Nightingale, Deborah
author_facet Peck, Jordan
Gaehde, Stephan
Benneyan, James
Graves, Stephen
Nightingale, Deborah
author_sort Peck, Jordan
collection MIT
description Often, in a health care delivery chain, lack of coordination has been detrimental to timely, high quality care. This paper focuses on the two steps of the hospital health care delivery chain, an emergency department and a hospital’s inpatient units. Past research into this chain has suggested that early prediction of patient need for admission can be used to better align flow between the two departments. This chain and the nature of prediction in health care delivery are discussed as well as a how prediction may be useful in this context. Finally tools for making admission predictions are tested and their possible implications are explored. The results of this exploration show that both expert opinion and a Naïve Bayesian statistical approach have predictive value in this context.
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spelling mit-1721.1/840172019-04-11T03:27:59Z Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain Peck, Jordan Gaehde, Stephan Benneyan, James Graves, Stephen Nightingale, Deborah health care delivery chain prediction Often, in a health care delivery chain, lack of coordination has been detrimental to timely, high quality care. This paper focuses on the two steps of the hospital health care delivery chain, an emergency department and a hospital’s inpatient units. Past research into this chain has suggested that early prediction of patient need for admission can be used to better align flow between the two departments. This chain and the nature of prediction in health care delivery are discussed as well as a how prediction may be useful in this context. Finally tools for making admission predictions are tested and their possible implications are explored. The results of this exploration show that both expert opinion and a Naïve Bayesian statistical approach have predictive value in this context. 2014-01-15T19:08:07Z 2014-01-15T19:08:07Z 2011 Technical report http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/84017 Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 United States http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/us/ application/pdf
spellingShingle health care delivery chain
prediction
Peck, Jordan
Gaehde, Stephan
Benneyan, James
Graves, Stephen
Nightingale, Deborah
Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title_full Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title_fullStr Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title_full_unstemmed Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title_short Using Prediction to Improve Patient Flow in a Health Care Delivery Chain
title_sort using prediction to improve patient flow in a health care delivery chain
topic health care delivery chain
prediction
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/84017
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