The Social Amplifier—Reaction of Human Communities to Emergencies

This paper develops a methodology to aggregate signals in a network regarding some hidden state of the world. We argue that focusing on edges around hubs will under certain circumstances amplify the faint signals disseminating in a network, allowing for more efficient detection of that hidden state....

Description complète

Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Altshuler, Yaniv, Fire, Michael, Shmueli, Erez, Elovici, Yuval, Bruckstein, Alfred, Lazer, David, Pentland, Alex Paul
Autres auteurs: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Media Laboratory
Format: Article
Langue:en_US
Publié: Springer-Verlag 2014
Accès en ligne:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/85200
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8053-9983
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0346-2994
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3410-9587
Description
Résumé:This paper develops a methodology to aggregate signals in a network regarding some hidden state of the world. We argue that focusing on edges around hubs will under certain circumstances amplify the faint signals disseminating in a network, allowing for more efficient detection of that hidden state. We apply this method to detecting emergencies in mobile phone data, demonstrating that under a broad range of cases and a constraint in how many edges can be observed at a time, focusing on the egocentric networks around key hubs will be more effective than sampling random edges. We support this conclusion analytically, through simulations, and with analysis of a dataset containing the call log data from a major mobile carrier in a European nation.