Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas
This paper uses a new rainfall algorithm to simulate the long-term tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) climatology in Texas based on synthetic tropical cyclones generated from National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data from 1980 to 2010. T...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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American Geophysical Union
2014
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/85619 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082 |
| _version_ | 1826205191726170112 |
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| author | Zhu, Laiyin Quiring, Steven M. Emanuel, Kerry Andrew |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Zhu, Laiyin Quiring, Steven M. Emanuel, Kerry Andrew |
| author_sort | Zhu, Laiyin |
| collection | MIT |
| description | This paper uses a new rainfall algorithm to simulate the long-term tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) climatology in Texas based on synthetic tropical cyclones generated from National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data from 1980 to 2010. The synthetic TCP climatology shows good agreement with the available observations with respect to TCP return periods, especially for daily and event TCP. Areas within 200 km of the coast have higher TCP risk with two hot spots located near Houston and Corpus Christi. Based on this technique, there are locations in Texas where a TCP event > 1000 mm has a return period of 500 years and a TCP event > 1400 mm has a return period of 1000 years. There is a high degree of spatial heterogeneity in TCP risk in central Texas due to the topography. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T13:08:48Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/85619 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T13:08:48Z |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publisher | American Geophysical Union |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/856192022-09-28T12:13:35Z Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas Zhu, Laiyin Quiring, Steven M. Emanuel, Kerry Andrew Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate Emanuel, Kerry Andrew This paper uses a new rainfall algorithm to simulate the long-term tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) climatology in Texas based on synthetic tropical cyclones generated from National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data from 1980 to 2010. The synthetic TCP climatology shows good agreement with the available observations with respect to TCP return periods, especially for daily and event TCP. Areas within 200 km of the coast have higher TCP risk with two hot spots located near Houston and Corpus Christi. Based on this technique, there are locations in Texas where a TCP event > 1000 mm has a return period of 500 years and a TCP event > 1400 mm has a return period of 1000 years. There is a high degree of spatial heterogeneity in TCP risk in central Texas due to the topography. 2014-03-14T15:13:17Z 2014-03-14T15:13:17Z 2013-12 2013-11 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 00948276 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/85619 Zhu, Laiyin, Steven M. Quiring, and Kerry A. Emanuel. “Estimating Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Risk in Texas.” Geophysical Research Letters 40, no. 23 (December 16, 2013): 6225–6230. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013gl058284 Geophysical Research Letters Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Geophysical Union MIT web domain |
| spellingShingle | Zhu, Laiyin Quiring, Steven M. Emanuel, Kerry Andrew Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title_full | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title_fullStr | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title_short | Estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in Texas |
| title_sort | estimating tropical cyclone precipitation risk in texas |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/85619 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082 |
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