On Estimating Conditional Conservatism

The concept of conditional conservatism (asymmetric earnings timeliness) has provided new insight into financial reporting and stimulated considerable research since Basu (1997). Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) report bias in firm-level cross-sectional asymmetry estimates that they attribute to scale e...

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Main Authors: Ball, Ray, Kothari, S. P., Nikolaev, Valeri V.
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Accounting Association 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87766
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1120-1177
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author Ball, Ray
Kothari, S. P.
Nikolaev, Valeri V.
author2 Sloan School of Management
author_facet Sloan School of Management
Ball, Ray
Kothari, S. P.
Nikolaev, Valeri V.
author_sort Ball, Ray
collection MIT
description The concept of conditional conservatism (asymmetric earnings timeliness) has provided new insight into financial reporting and stimulated considerable research since Basu (1997). Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) report bias in firm-level cross-sectional asymmetry estimates that they attribute to scale effects. We do not agree with their advice that researchers should avoid conditional conservatism estimates and inferences from research based on such estimates. Our theoretical and empirical analyses suggest the explanation is a correlated omitted variables problem that can be addressed in a straightforward fashion, including fixed-effects regression. Correlation between the expected components of earnings and returns biases estimates of how earnings incorporate the information contained in returns. Further, the correlation varies with returns, biasing asymmetric timeliness estimates. When firm-specific effects are taken into account, estimates do not exhibit the bias, are statistically and economically significant, are consistent with priors, and behave as a predictable function of book-to-market, size, and leverage.
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spelling mit-1721.1/877662022-10-01T19:58:56Z On Estimating Conditional Conservatism Ball, Ray Kothari, S. P. Nikolaev, Valeri V. Sloan School of Management Kothari, S. P. The concept of conditional conservatism (asymmetric earnings timeliness) has provided new insight into financial reporting and stimulated considerable research since Basu (1997). Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) report bias in firm-level cross-sectional asymmetry estimates that they attribute to scale effects. We do not agree with their advice that researchers should avoid conditional conservatism estimates and inferences from research based on such estimates. Our theoretical and empirical analyses suggest the explanation is a correlated omitted variables problem that can be addressed in a straightforward fashion, including fixed-effects regression. Correlation between the expected components of earnings and returns biases estimates of how earnings incorporate the information contained in returns. Further, the correlation varies with returns, biasing asymmetric timeliness estimates. When firm-specific effects are taken into account, estimates do not exhibit the bias, are statistically and economically significant, are consistent with priors, and behave as a predictable function of book-to-market, size, and leverage. 2014-06-13T15:22:03Z 2014-06-13T15:22:03Z 2012-12 2011-02 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0001-4826 1558-7967 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87766 Ball, Ray, S. P. Kothari, and Valeri V. Nikolaev. “On Estimating Conditional Conservatism.” The Accounting Review 88, no. 3 (May 2013): 755–787. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1120-1177 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr-50371 The Accounting Review Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf American Accounting Association SSRN
spellingShingle Ball, Ray
Kothari, S. P.
Nikolaev, Valeri V.
On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title_full On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title_fullStr On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title_full_unstemmed On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title_short On Estimating Conditional Conservatism
title_sort on estimating conditional conservatism
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87766
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1120-1177
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