Estimation of Random-Coefficient Demand Models: Two Empiricists' Perspective

We document the numerical challenges we experienced estimating random-coefficient demand models as in Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) using two well-known data sets and a thorough optimization design. The optimization algorithms often converge at points where the first- and second-order optimalit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Metaxoglou, Konstantinos, Knittel, Christopher Roland
Other Authors: Sloan School of Management
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: MIT Press 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87770
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7654-8641
Description
Summary:We document the numerical challenges we experienced estimating random-coefficient demand models as in Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) using two well-known data sets and a thorough optimization design. The optimization algorithms often converge at points where the first- and second-order optimality conditions fail. There are also cases of convergence at local optima. On convergence, the variation in the values of the parameter estimates translates into variation in the models' economic predictions. Price elasticities and changes in consumer and producer welfare following hypothetical merger exercises vary at least by a factor of 2 and up to a factor of 5.