PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique

"November 1978."

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखकों: Modarres, M. (Mohammad), Wolf, Lothar
अन्य लेखक: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Engineering
स्वरूप: Technical Report
प्रकाशित: Cambridge, Mass. : Dept. of Nuclear Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, [1978] 2014
विषय:
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/89735
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author Modarres, M. (Mohammad)
Wolf, Lothar
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Engineering
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Engineering
Modarres, M. (Mohammad)
Wolf, Lothar
author_sort Modarres, M. (Mohammad)
collection MIT
description "November 1978."
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institution Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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publisher Cambridge, Mass. : Dept. of Nuclear Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, [1978]
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spelling mit-1721.1/897352019-04-12T14:14:17Z PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique Modarres, M. (Mohammad) Wolf, Lothar Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Nuclear Engineering U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission TK9008.M41 N96 no.222 Decision trees -- Mathematical models Monte Carlo method -- Mathematical models "November 1978." Includes bibliographical references The methodology used in the PL-MOD code has been extended to include the time-dependent behavior of the fault tree components. Four classes of components are defined to model time-dependent fault tree leaves. Mathematical simplifications are applied to predict the time-dependent behavior of simple modules in the fault tree from its input components' failure data. The extended code, PL-MODT, handles time-dependent problems based on the mathematical models that have been established. An automatic tree reduction feature is also incorporated into this code. This reduction is based on the Vesely-Fussell importance measure that the code calculates. A CUT-OFF value is defined and incorporated into the code. Any module or component in the fault tree whose V-F importance is less than this value will automatically be eliminated from the tree. In order to benchmark the PL-MODT code, a number of systems are analyzed. The results are in good agreement with other codes, such as FRANTIC and KITT. The computation times are comparable and in most of the cases are even lower for the PL-MODT code compared to the others. In addition, a Monte-Carlo simulation code (PL-MODMC) is developed to propagate uncertainties in the failure rates of the components to the top event of a fault tree. An efficient sorting routine similar to the one used in the LIMITS code is employed in the PL-MODMC code. Upon modularization the code proceeds and propagates uncertainties in the failure rates through the tree. Large fault trees such as the LPRS fault tree as well as some smaller ones have been analyzed for simulation, and the results for the LPRS are in fair agreement with the WASH-1400 predictions for the number of simulations performed. The codes PL-MODT and PL-MODMC are written in PL/l language which offers the extensive use of the list processing tools. First experience indicates that these codes are very efficient and accurate, specifically for the analysis of very large and complex fault trees Sponsored by the NRC 2014-09-16T23:37:00Z 2014-09-16T23:37:00Z 1978 Technical Report http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/89735 857419210 MITNE ; no. 222 viii, 210 pages application/pdf Cambridge, Mass. : Dept. of Nuclear Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, [1978]
spellingShingle TK9008.M41 N96 no.222
Decision trees -- Mathematical models
Monte Carlo method -- Mathematical models
Modarres, M. (Mohammad)
Wolf, Lothar
PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title_full PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title_fullStr PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title_full_unstemmed PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title_short PL-MODT and PL-MODMC : two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
title_sort pl modt and pl modmc two codes for reliability and availability analysis of complex technical systems using the fault tree modularization technique
topic TK9008.M41 N96 no.222
Decision trees -- Mathematical models
Monte Carlo method -- Mathematical models
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/89735
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