Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin
Examines the literature and available data on hydroclimatic variability and change on the Indus Basin plains, comparing historical fluctuations in climatic and hydrologic variables and reviewing scenarios of climate change derived from general circulation models (GCMs), including the generation of f...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
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The World Bank
2014
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90256 |
| _version_ | 1826189604988911616 |
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| author | Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman |
| author_sort | Yu, Winston |
| collection | MIT |
| description | Examines the literature and available data on hydroclimatic variability and change on the Indus Basin plains, comparing historical fluctuations in climatic and hydrologic variables and reviewing scenarios of climate change derived from general circulation models (GCMs), including the generation of future scenarios of changing snow and ice melt in the Upper Indus Basin (IUB). Historical trends show statistically significant increasing temperatures and annual precipitation over the last century, and the general findings from a wide range of general circulation model (GCM) outputs show agreement among models regarding continued increases in temperature. Models regarding changes in precipitation (both in magnitude and direction) do not agree, but indicators do show a general trend in increased precipitation during the summer and a decrease during the winter, suggesting the primary impact on the UIB could be a shift in the timing of peak runoff and not a major change in annual volume. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T08:18:36Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/90256 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T08:18:36Z |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publisher | The World Bank |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/902562022-09-23T12:09:48Z Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture Wescoat, James Examines the literature and available data on hydroclimatic variability and change on the Indus Basin plains, comparing historical fluctuations in climatic and hydrologic variables and reviewing scenarios of climate change derived from general circulation models (GCMs), including the generation of future scenarios of changing snow and ice melt in the Upper Indus Basin (IUB). Historical trends show statistically significant increasing temperatures and annual precipitation over the last century, and the general findings from a wide range of general circulation model (GCM) outputs show agreement among models regarding continued increases in temperature. Models regarding changes in precipitation (both in magnitude and direction) do not agree, but indicators do show a general trend in increased precipitation during the summer and a decrease during the winter, suggesting the primary impact on the UIB could be a shift in the timing of peak runoff and not a major change in annual volume. 2014-09-22T16:29:35Z 2014-09-22T16:29:35Z 2013-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 978-0-8213-9874-6 978-0-8213-9875-3 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90256 Yu, Winston, Yi-Chen Yang, Andre Savitsky, Donald Alford, Casey Brown, James Wescoat, Dario Debowicz, and Sherman Robinson. “Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin.” The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture (April 18, 2013): 77–93. © International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/9780821398746_CH04 The Indus Basin of Pakistan: The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture Creative Commons Attribution http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ application/pdf The World Bank World Bank |
| spellingShingle | Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title | Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title_full | Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title_fullStr | Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title_short | Future Climate Scenarios for the Indus Basin |
| title_sort | future climate scenarios for the indus basin |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90256 |
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