Sensitivity and Scenario Results
Presents the results of various scenarios using models used to study water, climate, agriculture and the economy in Pakistan's Indus Basin, and discusses the policy and investment implications. The water allocations per the 1991 Provincial Accord and within provinces remain the most critical co...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | en_US |
| Published: |
The World Bank
2014
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90257 |
| _version_ | 1811089138409013248 |
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| author | Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman |
| author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture |
| author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman |
| author_sort | Yu, Winston |
| collection | MIT |
| description | Presents the results of various scenarios using models used to study water, climate, agriculture and the economy in Pakistan's Indus Basin, and discusses the policy and investment implications. The water allocations per the 1991 Provincial Accord and within provinces remain the most critical constraint. Relaxing the Accord constraint, and allowing optimal economic allocation between and within provinces, would enhance the ability to manage extreme events by more reliably meeting system-wide demands. A plausible range of climate changes within the next 80 years could see gross domestic product (GDP), Ag-GDP, and household income decrease by 1.1, 5.1, and 2.0 percent, respectively, on an annual basis. Improvements to system-wide efficiency, construction of new storage, and investments in agriculture technologies to increase crop yield could increase production, but without specific interventions, environmental considerations, such as flow to the sea, changes in depth to groundwater, and the overall salinity situation, are projected to worsen. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-23T14:14:18Z |
| format | Article |
| id | mit-1721.1/90257 |
| institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
| language | en_US |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-23T14:14:18Z |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publisher | The World Bank |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | mit-1721.1/902572022-10-01T19:57:26Z Sensitivity and Scenario Results Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Architecture Wescoat, James Presents the results of various scenarios using models used to study water, climate, agriculture and the economy in Pakistan's Indus Basin, and discusses the policy and investment implications. The water allocations per the 1991 Provincial Accord and within provinces remain the most critical constraint. Relaxing the Accord constraint, and allowing optimal economic allocation between and within provinces, would enhance the ability to manage extreme events by more reliably meeting system-wide demands. A plausible range of climate changes within the next 80 years could see gross domestic product (GDP), Ag-GDP, and household income decrease by 1.1, 5.1, and 2.0 percent, respectively, on an annual basis. Improvements to system-wide efficiency, construction of new storage, and investments in agriculture technologies to increase crop yield could increase production, but without specific interventions, environmental considerations, such as flow to the sea, changes in depth to groundwater, and the overall salinity situation, are projected to worsen. 2014-09-22T16:34:00Z 2014-09-22T16:34:00Z 2013-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 978-0-8213-9874-6 978-0-8213-9875-3 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90257 Yu, Winston, Yi-Chen Yang, Andre Savitsky, Donald Alford, Casey Brown, James Wescoat, Dario Debowicz, and Sherman Robinson. “Sensitivity and Scenario Results.” The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture (April 18, 2013): 119–143. © International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1596/9780821398746_CH06 The Indus Basin of Pakistan: The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture Creative Commons Attribution http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ application/pdf The World Bank World Bank |
| spellingShingle | Yu, Winston Yang, Yi-Chen Savitsky, Andre Alford, Donald Brown, Casey Wescoat, James Debowicz, Dario Robinson, Sherman Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title | Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title_full | Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title_fullStr | Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title_full_unstemmed | Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title_short | Sensitivity and Scenario Results |
| title_sort | sensitivity and scenario results |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/90257 |
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