On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades

Dynamical coupling between the stratospheric and tropospheric circumpolar circulations in the Arctic has been widely documented on month-to-month and interannual time scales, but not on longer time scales. In the Antarctic, both short- and long-term coupling extending from the stratosphere to the su...

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Main Authors: Solomon, Susan, Thompson, David W. J., Ivy, Diane J
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Meteorological Society 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91280
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581
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author Solomon, Susan
Thompson, David W. J.
Ivy, Diane J
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Solomon, Susan
Thompson, David W. J.
Ivy, Diane J
author_sort Solomon, Susan
collection MIT
description Dynamical coupling between the stratospheric and tropospheric circumpolar circulations in the Arctic has been widely documented on month-to-month and interannual time scales, but not on longer time scales. In the Antarctic, both short- and long-term coupling extending from the stratosphere to the surface has been identified. In this study, changes in Arctic temperature, geopotential height, and ozone observed since the satellite era began in 1979 are examined, comparing dynamically quiescent years in which major sudden stratospheric warmings did not occur to all years. It is shown that this approach clarifies the behavior for years without major warmings and that dynamically quiescent years are marked by a strengthening of the Arctic polar vortex over the past 30 years. The associated declines in stratospheric temperatures, geopotential height, and ozone are qualitatively similar to those obtained in the Antarctic (albeit weaker), and propagate downward into the Arctic lowermost stratosphere during late winter and early spring. In sharp contrast to the Antarctic, the strengthening of the Arctic stratospheric vortex appears to originate at a higher altitude, and the propagation to the Arctic troposphere is both very limited and confined to the uppermost troposphere, even when only dynamically quiescent years are considered in the analysis.
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spelling mit-1721.1/912802024-05-15T08:45:54Z On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades Solomon, Susan Thompson, David W. J. Ivy, Diane J Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Ivy, Diane J. Solomon, Susan Dynamical coupling between the stratospheric and tropospheric circumpolar circulations in the Arctic has been widely documented on month-to-month and interannual time scales, but not on longer time scales. In the Antarctic, both short- and long-term coupling extending from the stratosphere to the surface has been identified. In this study, changes in Arctic temperature, geopotential height, and ozone observed since the satellite era began in 1979 are examined, comparing dynamically quiescent years in which major sudden stratospheric warmings did not occur to all years. It is shown that this approach clarifies the behavior for years without major warmings and that dynamically quiescent years are marked by a strengthening of the Arctic polar vortex over the past 30 years. The associated declines in stratospheric temperatures, geopotential height, and ozone are qualitatively similar to those obtained in the Antarctic (albeit weaker), and propagate downward into the Arctic lowermost stratosphere during late winter and early spring. In sharp contrast to the Antarctic, the strengthening of the Arctic stratospheric vortex appears to originate at a higher altitude, and the propagation to the Arctic troposphere is both very limited and confined to the uppermost troposphere, even when only dynamically quiescent years are considered in the analysis. 2014-11-04T14:08:41Z 2014-11-04T14:08:41Z 2014-04 2014-01 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 0894-8755 1520-0442 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91280 Ivy, Diane J., Susan Solomon, and David W. J. Thompson. “On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades.” J. Climate 27, no. 8 (April 2014): 2789–2799. © 2014 American Meteorological Society https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00445.1 Journal of Climate Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society
spellingShingle Solomon, Susan
Thompson, David W. J.
Ivy, Diane J
On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title_full On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title_fullStr On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title_full_unstemmed On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title_short On the Identification of the Downward Propagation of Arctic Stratospheric Climate Change over Recent Decades
title_sort on the identification of the downward propagation of arctic stratospheric climate change over recent decades
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91280
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581
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