Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures

Field Alignment is a useful and often necessary preprocessing step in contemporary geophysical state and parameter estimation of coherent structures. In an advance, we introduce a new framework for using Field Alignment to quantify uncertainty from an ensemble of coherent structures. Our method, cal...

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Main Author: Ravela, Sai
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Elsevier 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91528
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author Ravela, Sai
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Ravela, Sai
author_sort Ravela, Sai
collection MIT
description Field Alignment is a useful and often necessary preprocessing step in contemporary geophysical state and parameter estimation of coherent structures. In an advance, we introduce a new framework for using Field Alignment to quantify uncertainty from an ensemble of coherent structures. Our method, called Coalescence, discovers the mean field under non-trivial misalignments of fields with complex shapes, which is especially diffcult to calculate in the presence of sparse observations. We solve the associated Field Alignment problem using novel constraints derived from turbulent displacement spectra. In conjunction with a continuation method called Scale Cascaded Alignment (SCA), we are able to extract simpler explanations of the error between fields before cascading to more complex deformation solutions. For coherent structures, SCA and Coalescence have the potential to change the way uncertainty is quantified and data is assimilated. We illustrate utility here in a Nowcasting application.
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spelling mit-1721.1/915282024-05-15T02:48:44Z Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures Ravela, Sai Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Ravela, Srinivas (Sai) Field Alignment is a useful and often necessary preprocessing step in contemporary geophysical state and parameter estimation of coherent structures. In an advance, we introduce a new framework for using Field Alignment to quantify uncertainty from an ensemble of coherent structures. Our method, called Coalescence, discovers the mean field under non-trivial misalignments of fields with complex shapes, which is especially diffcult to calculate in the presence of sparse observations. We solve the associated Field Alignment problem using novel constraints derived from turbulent displacement spectra. In conjunction with a continuation method called Scale Cascaded Alignment (SCA), we are able to extract simpler explanations of the error between fields before cascading to more complex deformation solutions. For coherent structures, SCA and Coalescence have the potential to change the way uncertainty is quantified and data is assimilated. We illustrate utility here in a Nowcasting application. United States. Federal Aviation Administration (Grant FA8721-05-C-0002) National Science Foundation (U.S.). Division of Biological Infrastructure (Grant NSF DBI 0640529) 2014-11-12T13:53:14Z 2014-11-12T13:53:14Z 2012-06 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 18770509 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91528 Ravela, S. “Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures.” Procedia Computer Science 9 (2012): 1187–1196. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2012.04.128 Procedia Computer Science Creative Commons Attribution http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/ application/pdf Elsevier Elsevier
spellingShingle Ravela, Sai
Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title_full Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title_fullStr Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title_short Quantifying Uncertainty for Coherent Structures
title_sort quantifying uncertainty for coherent structures
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91528
work_keys_str_mv AT ravelasai quantifyinguncertaintyforcoherentstructures