Blended particle filters for large-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems

Combining large uncertain computational models with big noisy datasets is a formidable problem throughout science and engineering. These are especially difficult issues when real-time state estimation and prediction are needed such as, for example, in weather forecasting. Thus, a major challenge in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sapsis, Themistoklis, Majda, Andrew J., Qi, Di
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Mechanical Engineering
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: National Academy of Sciences (U.S.) 2014
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/91955
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0302-0691
Description
Summary:Combining large uncertain computational models with big noisy datasets is a formidable problem throughout science and engineering. These are especially difficult issues when real-time state estimation and prediction are needed such as, for example, in weather forecasting. Thus, a major challenge in contemporary data science is the development of statistically accurate particle filters to capture non-Gaussian features in large-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. New blended particle filters are developed in this paper. These algorithms exploit the physical structure of turbulent dynamical systems and capture non-Gaussian features in an adaptively evolving low-dimensional subspace through particles interacting with evolving Gaussian statistics on the remaining portion of the phase space.