Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation

Temporal uncertainty in large-scale logistics forces one to trade off between lost efficiency through built-in slack and costly replanning when deadlines are missed. Due to the difficulty of reasoning about such likelihoods and consequences, a computational framework is needed to quantify and bound...

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Main Authors: Wang, Andrew J., Williams, Brian Charles
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/92982
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1057-3940
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author Wang, Andrew J.
Williams, Brian Charles
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
Wang, Andrew J.
Williams, Brian Charles
author_sort Wang, Andrew J.
collection MIT
description Temporal uncertainty in large-scale logistics forces one to trade off between lost efficiency through built-in slack and costly replanning when deadlines are missed. Due to the difficulty of reasoning about such likelihoods and consequences, a computational framework is needed to quantify and bound the risk of violating scheduling requirements. This work addresses the chance-constrained scheduling problem, where actions’ durations are modeled probabilistically. Our solution method uses conflict-directed risk allocation to efficiently compute a scheduling policy. The key insight, compared to previous work in probabilistic scheduling, is to decouple the reasoning about temporal and risk constraints. This decomposes the problem into a separate master and subproblem, which can be iteratively solved much quicker. Through a set of simulated car-sharing scenarios, it is empirically shown that conflict-directed risk allocation computes solutions nearly an order of magnitude faster than prior art does, which considers all constraints in a single lump-sum optimization.
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spelling mit-1721.1/929822022-09-30T08:22:35Z Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation Wang, Andrew J. Williams, Brian Charles Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Wang, Andrew J. Williams, Brian Charles Temporal uncertainty in large-scale logistics forces one to trade off between lost efficiency through built-in slack and costly replanning when deadlines are missed. Due to the difficulty of reasoning about such likelihoods and consequences, a computational framework is needed to quantify and bound the risk of violating scheduling requirements. This work addresses the chance-constrained scheduling problem, where actions’ durations are modeled probabilistically. Our solution method uses conflict-directed risk allocation to efficiently compute a scheduling policy. The key insight, compared to previous work in probabilistic scheduling, is to decouple the reasoning about temporal and risk constraints. This decomposes the problem into a separate master and subproblem, which can be iteratively solved much quicker. Through a set of simulated car-sharing scenarios, it is empirically shown that conflict-directed risk allocation computes solutions nearly an order of magnitude faster than prior art does, which considers all constraints in a single lump-sum optimization. 2015-01-20T17:03:31Z 2015-01-20T17:03:31Z 2015-01 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/ConferencePaper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/92982 Wang, Andrew J., and Brian C. Williams. "Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation." in Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-15), January, 25-30, 2015, Austin, Texas, USA. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1057-3940 en_US http://www.aaai.org/Conferences/AAAI/2015/aaai15schedule.pdf Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-15) Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ application/pdf Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence Wang
spellingShingle Wang, Andrew J.
Williams, Brian Charles
Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title_full Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title_fullStr Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title_full_unstemmed Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title_short Chance-constrained Scheduling via Conflict-directed Risk Allocation
title_sort chance constrained scheduling via conflict directed risk allocation
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/92982
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1057-3940
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