Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling

Multiple observational analyses have identified a decreasing trend over the past decade in surface concentrations of gaseous elemental mercury (GEM), from sites in both the Northern and Southern hemisphere. We use two model-based approaches to identify sets of parameters that could quantitatively ex...

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Main Authors: Song, Shaojie, Selin, Noelle E
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/93233
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6395-7422
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author Song, Shaojie
Selin, Noelle E
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Song, Shaojie
Selin, Noelle E
author_sort Song, Shaojie
collection MIT
description Multiple observational analyses have identified a decreasing trend over the past decade in surface concentrations of gaseous elemental mercury (GEM), from sites in both the Northern and Southern hemisphere. We use two model-based approaches to identify sets of parameters that could quantitatively explain observed trends in mercury. Using a 12-box model, we quantify which combinations of factors including changes in anthropogenic emissions, oceanic and land evasion, and atmospheric oxidation rates that can explain observed tropospheric mercury decreases. We then use the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model to further examine source attribution at measurement sites where decreasing trends have been observed. We combine these analyses to generate quantitative hypotheses to explain observed trends. We suggest that the tropospheric decline may be best explained by multiple, reinforcing factors.
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spelling mit-1721.1/932332024-05-15T03:17:03Z Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling Song, Shaojie Selin, Noelle E Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division Selin, Noelle Eckley Song, Shaojie Multiple observational analyses have identified a decreasing trend over the past decade in surface concentrations of gaseous elemental mercury (GEM), from sites in both the Northern and Southern hemisphere. We use two model-based approaches to identify sets of parameters that could quantitatively explain observed trends in mercury. Using a 12-box model, we quantify which combinations of factors including changes in anthropogenic emissions, oceanic and land evasion, and atmospheric oxidation rates that can explain observed tropospheric mercury decreases. We then use the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model to further examine source attribution at measurement sites where decreasing trends have been observed. We combine these analyses to generate quantitative hypotheses to explain observed trends. We suggest that the tropospheric decline may be best explained by multiple, reinforcing factors. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (Atmospheric Chemistry Program Grant 1053648) 2015-01-30T18:22:40Z 2015-01-30T18:22:40Z 2013-04 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/ConferencePaper 2267-1242 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/93233 Selin, N. E., and S. Song. “Explaining Trends in Tropospheric Mercury Using Global Modeling.” Edited by Nicola Pirrone. E3S Web of Conferences 1 (2013): 07003. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6395-7422 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20130107003 E3S Web of Conferences Creative Commons Attribution http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0 application/pdf E3s Web of Conferences
spellingShingle Song, Shaojie
Selin, Noelle E
Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title_full Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title_fullStr Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title_full_unstemmed Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title_short Explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
title_sort explaining trends in tropospheric mercury using global modeling
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/93233
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-5622
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6395-7422
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