Who Overvotes, Who Undervotes, Using Punchcards? Evidence from Los Angeles County

In this study we examine over- and undervotes from the November 2000 General Election in Los Angeles County. Los Angeles County is the nation's largest election jurisdiction and it used a punchcard voting system in that election. We use precincts as our unit of analysis and merge the 2000 elect...

全面介绍

书目详细资料
Main Authors: Sinclair, D. E. "Betsy", Alvarez, R. Michael
格式: Working Paper
语言:en_US
出版: Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project 2015
主题:
在线阅读:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96544
实物特征
总结:In this study we examine over- and undervotes from the November 2000 General Election in Los Angeles County. Los Angeles County is the nation's largest election jurisdiction and it used a punchcard voting system in that election. We use precincts as our unit of analysis and merge the 2000 election data with census data and voter registration data; our dataset allows us to examine all of the countywide races in 2000 (including candidate and ballot measures). We use a multivariate statistical analysis employing negative binomial regression to test hypotheses regarding the relationship between precincts' political and demographic characteristics and over- and undervotes. We demonstrate that both over- and undervotes vary systematically across precincts in Los Angeles County, a finding that we argue has important implications for the representation of political interests.