Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election

This paper implements a unified model of individual abstention and vote choice to analyze policy-based alienation and indifference in Brazil’s 2002 presidential election. The results indicate that both alienation and indifference depressed turnout, with indifference contributing slightly more to vot...

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Main Author: Katz, Gabriel
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96612
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author Katz, Gabriel
author_facet Katz, Gabriel
author_sort Katz, Gabriel
collection MIT
description This paper implements a unified model of individual abstention and vote choice to analyze policy-based alienation and indifference in Brazil’s 2002 presidential election. The results indicate that both alienation and indifference depressed turnout, with indifference contributing slightly more to voter abstention. Also, the determinants of alienation and indifference differed considerably, the former being determined by structural factors such as voters’ information and perceived efficacy levels, while the latter was related to shortterm aspects such as parties’ mobilization efforts. More importantly, evidence shows that while alienation and indifference were strongly influenced by attitudinal and protest variables, they were also affected by citizens’ evaluation of candidates’ ideological locations. The main conclusion is that abstention in Brazil’s 2002 election had a policy-driven component and that spatial considerations played a substantive role in citizens’ electoral behavior, a fact that has been overlooked in previous research on the determinants of abstention in Latin America.
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spelling mit-1721.1/966122019-04-11T13:52:19Z Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election Katz, Gabriel Abstention Indifference Alienation Unified model This paper implements a unified model of individual abstention and vote choice to analyze policy-based alienation and indifference in Brazil’s 2002 presidential election. The results indicate that both alienation and indifference depressed turnout, with indifference contributing slightly more to voter abstention. Also, the determinants of alienation and indifference differed considerably, the former being determined by structural factors such as voters’ information and perceived efficacy levels, while the latter was related to shortterm aspects such as parties’ mobilization efforts. More importantly, evidence shows that while alienation and indifference were strongly influenced by attitudinal and protest variables, they were also affected by citizens’ evaluation of candidates’ ideological locations. The main conclusion is that abstention in Brazil’s 2002 election had a policy-driven component and that spatial considerations played a substantive role in citizens’ electoral behavior, a fact that has been overlooked in previous research on the determinants of abstention in Latin America. 2015-04-15T14:34:51Z 2015-04-15T14:34:51Z 2009-03 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96612 en_US VTP Working Paper Series;80 application/pdf Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project
spellingShingle Abstention
Indifference
Alienation
Unified model
Katz, Gabriel
Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title_full Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title_fullStr Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title_full_unstemmed Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title_short Policy-based abstention in Brazil's 2002 presidential election
title_sort policy based abstention in brazil s 2002 presidential election
topic Abstention
Indifference
Alienation
Unified model
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96612
work_keys_str_mv AT katzgabriel policybasedabstentioninbrazils2002presidentialelection