Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010

This paper examines how the growth in vote-by-mail and changes in voting technologies led to changes in the residual vote rate in California from 1990 to 2010. We find that in California’s presidential elections, counties that abandoned punch cards in favor of optical scanning enjoyed a significant...

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Main Authors: Alvarez, R. Michael, Stewart III, Charles H., Beckett, Dustin
Format: Working Paper
Language:en_US
Published: Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96633
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author Alvarez, R. Michael
Stewart III, Charles H.
Beckett, Dustin
author_facet Alvarez, R. Michael
Stewart III, Charles H.
Beckett, Dustin
author_sort Alvarez, R. Michael
collection MIT
description This paper examines how the growth in vote-by-mail and changes in voting technologies led to changes in the residual vote rate in California from 1990 to 2010. We find that in California’s presidential elections, counties that abandoned punch cards in favor of optical scanning enjoyed a significant improvement in the residual vote rate. However, these findings do not always translate to other races. For instance, find that the InkaVote system in Los Angeles has been a mixed success, performing very well in presidential and gubernatorial races, fairly well for ballot propositions, and poorly in Senate races. We also conduct the first analysis of the effects of the rise of vote-by-mail on residual votes. Regardless of the race, increased use of the mails to cast ballots is robustly associated with a rise in the residual vote rate. The effect is so strong that the rise of voting by mail in California has mostly wiped out all the reductions in residual votes that were due to improved voting technologies since the early 1990s.
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spelling mit-1721.1/966332019-04-11T06:49:49Z Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010 Alvarez, R. Michael Stewart III, Charles H. Beckett, Dustin This paper examines how the growth in vote-by-mail and changes in voting technologies led to changes in the residual vote rate in California from 1990 to 2010. We find that in California’s presidential elections, counties that abandoned punch cards in favor of optical scanning enjoyed a significant improvement in the residual vote rate. However, these findings do not always translate to other races. For instance, find that the InkaVote system in Los Angeles has been a mixed success, performing very well in presidential and gubernatorial races, fairly well for ballot propositions, and poorly in Senate races. We also conduct the first analysis of the effects of the rise of vote-by-mail on residual votes. Regardless of the race, increased use of the mails to cast ballots is robustly associated with a rise in the residual vote rate. The effect is so strong that the rise of voting by mail in California has mostly wiped out all the reductions in residual votes that were due to improved voting technologies since the early 1990s. 2015-04-16T13:21:31Z 2015-04-16T13:21:31Z 2011-05-05 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96633 en_US VTP Working Paper Series;105 application/pdf Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project
spellingShingle Alvarez, R. Michael
Stewart III, Charles H.
Beckett, Dustin
Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title_full Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title_fullStr Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title_full_unstemmed Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title_short Voting Technology, Vote-by-Mail, and Residual Votes in California, 1990-2010
title_sort voting technology vote by mail and residual votes in california 1990 2010
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/96633
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