Are Special Processes at Work in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones?

Probably not. Frequency distributions of intensification and dissipation developed from synthetic open-ocean tropical cyclone data show no evidence of significant departures from exponential distributions, though there is some evidence for a fat tail of dissipation rates. This suggests that no speci...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Main Authors: Kowch, Roman, Emanuel, Kerry Andrew
Outros autores: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Formato: Artigo
Idioma:en_US
Publicado: American Meteorological Society 2015
Acceso en liña:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/98391
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082
Descripción
Summary:Probably not. Frequency distributions of intensification and dissipation developed from synthetic open-ocean tropical cyclone data show no evidence of significant departures from exponential distributions, though there is some evidence for a fat tail of dissipation rates. This suggests that no special factors govern high intensification rates and that tropical cyclone intensification and dissipation are controlled by statistically random environmental and internal variability.