Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process

Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2015.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Other Authors: Hui Chen.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/98989
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author Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
author2 Hui Chen.
author_facet Hui Chen.
Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
author_sort Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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description Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2015.
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spelling mit-1721.1/989892019-04-09T16:26:48Z Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology Hui Chen. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Sloan School of Management. Thesis: S.M. in Management Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 2015. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references. China has become the second-largest economy by nominal GDP and the world's largest economy after adjusting purchasing power by the end of 20141. Meanwhile, China is also the largest trading nation in the world. Since the late 2000s, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) has sought to internationalize the renminbi, the official currency of China, to improve the international use of the renminbi and in turn to stimulate monetary efficiency. The offshore renminbi market officially launched in Hong Kong SAR in July 2010 and the offshore deliverable forward market was established two months later. This paper aims to provide a detailed review of the renminbi internationalization process, particularly the foreign exchange market, including the deliverable forward market in the offshore setting. The review will test the correlations among the onshore deliverable forwards, the offshore deliverable forwards, and non-deliverable forwards by conducting time-series analyses. Moreover, interest rate parity theory is utilized to price the theoretical offshore deliverable forwards. Substantial deviations are observed and documented between the theoretical and actual offshore deliverable forward rates. Furthermore, regression analyses are adopted to provide empirical evidence to explain the possible reasons affecting the prices of the offshore renminbi deliverable forwards and the onshore deliverable forwards, also, the price differential between these two products. Among these reasons, exchange rate expectation, macroeconomic sentiment and market liquidity show statistically significant impact. Finally, the paper will discuss the possible implications of the preceding analyses for the development of the offshore deliverable forward market and the renminbi internationalization process. by Xi Wang. S.M. in Management Research 2015-09-29T18:57:03Z 2015-09-29T18:57:03Z 2015 2015 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/98989 921180589 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 31 pages application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Sloan School of Management.
Wang, Xi, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title_full Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title_fullStr Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title_full_unstemmed Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title_short Offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
title_sort offshore renminbi forward market development and its implication for the currency internationalization process
topic Sloan School of Management.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/98989
work_keys_str_mv AT wangxismmassachusettsinstituteoftechnology offshorerenminbiforwardmarketdevelopmentanditsimplicationforthecurrencyinternationalizationprocess