Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature

Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation...

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Main Authors: Singh, Martin Simran, O'Gorman, Paul
Other Authors: Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Format: Article
Language:en_US
Published: Wiley Blackwell 2015
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816
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author Singh, Martin Simran
O'Gorman, Paul
author2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
author_facet Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Singh, Martin Simran
O'Gorman, Paul
author_sort Singh, Martin Simran
collection MIT
description Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation extremes increase with warming in proportion to the increase in surface moisture, following what is termed Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling. At lower temperatures, the rate of increase of precipitation extremes depends on the choice of cloud and precipitation microphysics scheme and the accumulation period, and it differs markedly from CC scaling in some cases. Precipitation extremes are found to be sensitive to the fall speeds of hydrometeors, and this partly explains the different scaling results obtained with different microphysics schemes. The results suggest that microphysics play an important role in determining the response of convective precipitation extremes to warming, particularly when ice- and mixed-phase processes are important.
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spelling mit-1721.1/991552024-05-15T08:28:18Z Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature Singh, Martin Simran O'Gorman, Paul Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Singh, Martin S. O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation extremes increase with warming in proportion to the increase in surface moisture, following what is termed Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling. At lower temperatures, the rate of increase of precipitation extremes depends on the choice of cloud and precipitation microphysics scheme and the accumulation period, and it differs markedly from CC scaling in some cases. Precipitation extremes are found to be sensitive to the fall speeds of hydrometeors, and this partly explains the different scaling results obtained with different microphysics schemes. The results suggest that microphysics play an important role in determining the response of convective precipitation extremes to warming, particularly when ice- and mixed-phase processes are important. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (Grant AGS-1148594) United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (ROSES Grant 09-ID509-0049) 2015-10-06T17:01:22Z 2015-10-06T17:01:22Z 2014-08 2014-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 00948276 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155 Singh, Martin S., and Paul A. O’Gorman. “Influence of Microphysics on the Scaling of Precipitation Extremes with Temperature.” Geophysical Research Letters 41, no. 16 (August 22, 2014): 6037–6044. © 2014 American Geophysical Union https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061222 Geophysical Research Letters Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf Wiley Blackwell Prof. O'Gorman via Chris Sherratt
spellingShingle Singh, Martin Simran
O'Gorman, Paul
Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title_full Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title_fullStr Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title_full_unstemmed Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title_short Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
title_sort influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816
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