Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature
Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation...
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Wiley Blackwell
2015
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 |
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author | Singh, Martin Simran O'Gorman, Paul |
author2 | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences |
author_facet | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences Singh, Martin Simran O'Gorman, Paul |
author_sort | Singh, Martin Simran |
collection | MIT |
description | Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation extremes increase with warming in proportion to the increase in surface moisture, following what is termed Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling. At lower temperatures, the rate of increase of precipitation extremes depends on the choice of cloud and precipitation microphysics scheme and the accumulation period, and it differs markedly from CC scaling in some cases. Precipitation extremes are found to be sensitive to the fall speeds of hydrometeors, and this partly explains the different scaling results obtained with different microphysics schemes. The results suggest that microphysics play an important role in determining the response of convective precipitation extremes to warming, particularly when ice- and mixed-phase processes are important. |
first_indexed | 2024-09-23T17:08:27Z |
format | Article |
id | mit-1721.1/99155 |
institution | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
language | en_US |
last_indexed | 2024-09-23T17:08:27Z |
publishDate | 2015 |
publisher | Wiley Blackwell |
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spelling | mit-1721.1/991552024-05-15T08:28:18Z Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature Singh, Martin Simran O'Gorman, Paul Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Singh, Martin S. O'Gorman, Paul Ambrose Simulations of radiative-convective equilibrium with a cloud-system resolving model are used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution (precipitation extremes) over a wide range of surface temperatures. At surface temperatures above roughly 295 K, precipitation extremes increase with warming in proportion to the increase in surface moisture, following what is termed Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling. At lower temperatures, the rate of increase of precipitation extremes depends on the choice of cloud and precipitation microphysics scheme and the accumulation period, and it differs markedly from CC scaling in some cases. Precipitation extremes are found to be sensitive to the fall speeds of hydrometeors, and this partly explains the different scaling results obtained with different microphysics schemes. The results suggest that microphysics play an important role in determining the response of convective precipitation extremes to warming, particularly when ice- and mixed-phase processes are important. National Science Foundation (U.S.) (Grant AGS-1148594) United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (ROSES Grant 09-ID509-0049) 2015-10-06T17:01:22Z 2015-10-06T17:01:22Z 2014-08 2014-07 Article http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle 00948276 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155 Singh, Martin S., and Paul A. O’Gorman. “Influence of Microphysics on the Scaling of Precipitation Extremes with Temperature.” Geophysical Research Letters 41, no. 16 (August 22, 2014): 6037–6044. © 2014 American Geophysical Union https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 en_US http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061222 Geophysical Research Letters Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. application/pdf Wiley Blackwell Prof. O'Gorman via Chris Sherratt |
spellingShingle | Singh, Martin Simran O'Gorman, Paul Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title | Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title_full | Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title_fullStr | Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title_full_unstemmed | Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title_short | Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
title_sort | influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature |
url | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99155 https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT singhmartinsimran influenceofmicrophysicsonthescalingofprecipitationextremeswithtemperature AT ogormanpaul influenceofmicrophysicsonthescalingofprecipitationextremeswithtemperature |