Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy

Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, 2015.

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Stokes, Leah C
Other Authors: Christopher Warshaw.
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99561
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author Stokes, Leah C
author2 Christopher Warshaw.
author_facet Christopher Warshaw.
Stokes, Leah C
author_sort Stokes, Leah C
collection MIT
description Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, 2015.
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spelling mit-1721.1/995612019-04-12T15:33:49Z Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy Stokes, Leah C Christopher Warshaw. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Political Science. Political Science. Thesis: S.M., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, 2015. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (pages 34-40). Retrospective voting studies typically examine policies where the public has common interests. By contrast, climate policy has broad public support but concentrated opposition in communities where costs are imposed. This spatial distribution of weak supporters and strong, local opponents mirrors opposition to other policies with diffuse public benefits and concentrated local costs. I use a natural experiment to investigate whether citizens living in proximity to wind energy projects retrospectively punished an incumbent government because of its climate policy. Using both fixed effects and instrumental variable estimators, I identify electoral losses for the incumbent party ranging from 4-10%, with the effect persisting 3 km from wind turbines. Voters also discriminate by correctly punishing the level of government responsible for the policy, providing evidence that voters are informed. I conclude that the spatial distribution of citizens' policy preferences can affect democratic accountability and exacerbate political barriers to addressing climate change. by Leah C. Stokes. S.M. 2015-10-30T18:55:28Z 2015-10-30T18:55:28Z 2015 2015 Thesis http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99561 924273940 eng M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582 48 pages application/pdf Massachusetts Institute of Technology
spellingShingle Political Science.
Stokes, Leah C
Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title_full Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title_fullStr Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title_full_unstemmed Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title_short Electoral backlash against climate policy : a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
title_sort electoral backlash against climate policy a natural experiment on retrospective voting and local resistance to public policy
topic Political Science.
url http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/99561
work_keys_str_mv AT stokesleahc electoralbacklashagainstclimatepolicyanaturalexperimentonretrospectivevotingandlocalresistancetopublicpolicy