Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing

The characteristics of nonlinearity and time-varying changes in most industrial processes usually cripple the predictive performance of conventional soft sensors. In this article, moving-window Gaussian process regression (MWGPR) is proposed to effectively capture the process dynamics and to model n...

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Main Authors: Ni, Wangdong, Tan, Soon Keat, Ng, Wun Jern, Brown, Steven D.
Other Authors: School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/105944
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/16749
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/ie201898a
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author Ni, Wangdong
Tan, Soon Keat
Ng, Wun Jern
Brown, Steven D.
author2 School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
author_facet School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Ni, Wangdong
Tan, Soon Keat
Ng, Wun Jern
Brown, Steven D.
author_sort Ni, Wangdong
collection NTU
description The characteristics of nonlinearity and time-varying changes in most industrial processes usually cripple the predictive performance of conventional soft sensors. In this article, moving-window Gaussian process regression (MWGPR) is proposed to effectively capture the process dynamics and to model nonlinearity simultaneously. Applications of the proposed MWGPR method to the modeling of the activity of a catalyst and an industrial propylene polymerization process are presented. The results clearly demonstrate that the MWGPR method effectively tracks the process changes to generate satisfactory predictive performance. Two modeling strategies, namely, dual updating and dual preprocessing, are applied to MWGPR, in an attempt to more efficiently track the process dynamics. Dual updating takes into account both the time-varying variance of the process and the bias between the actual measurement and the model prediction. The improvement in performance is illustrated by a case study on modeling catalyst activity. Simultaneous removal of embedded noise in both process parameters and process output variables by dual preprocessing could significantly improve the predictive capability of MWGPR, as illustrated by the performance of a modeling study of an industrial propylene polymerization process.
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spelling ntu-10356/1059442019-12-06T22:01:14Z Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing Ni, Wangdong Tan, Soon Keat Ng, Wun Jern Brown, Steven D. School of Civil and Environmental Engineering Maritime Research Centre Nanyang Environment and Water Research Institute DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Water resources The characteristics of nonlinearity and time-varying changes in most industrial processes usually cripple the predictive performance of conventional soft sensors. In this article, moving-window Gaussian process regression (MWGPR) is proposed to effectively capture the process dynamics and to model nonlinearity simultaneously. Applications of the proposed MWGPR method to the modeling of the activity of a catalyst and an industrial propylene polymerization process are presented. The results clearly demonstrate that the MWGPR method effectively tracks the process changes to generate satisfactory predictive performance. Two modeling strategies, namely, dual updating and dual preprocessing, are applied to MWGPR, in an attempt to more efficiently track the process dynamics. Dual updating takes into account both the time-varying variance of the process and the bias between the actual measurement and the model prediction. The improvement in performance is illustrated by a case study on modeling catalyst activity. Simultaneous removal of embedded noise in both process parameters and process output variables by dual preprocessing could significantly improve the predictive capability of MWGPR, as illustrated by the performance of a modeling study of an industrial propylene polymerization process. 2013-10-23T07:55:35Z 2019-12-06T22:01:14Z 2013-10-23T07:55:35Z 2019-12-06T22:01:14Z 2012 2012 Journal Article Ni, W., Tan, S. K., Ng, W. J., & Brown, S. D. (2012). Moving-Window GPR for Nonlinear Dynamic System Modeling with Dual Updating and Dual Preprocessing. Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, 51(18), 6416-6428. 0888-5885 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/105944 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/16749 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/ie201898a en Industrial & engineering chemistry research © 2012 American Chemical Society
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Water resources
Ni, Wangdong
Tan, Soon Keat
Ng, Wun Jern
Brown, Steven D.
Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title_full Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title_fullStr Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title_full_unstemmed Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title_short Moving-window GPR for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
title_sort moving window gpr for nonlinear dynamic system modeling with dual updating and dual preprocessing
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Water resources
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/105944
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/16749
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/ie201898a
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AT brownstevend movingwindowgprfornonlineardynamicsystemmodelingwithdualupdatinganddualpreprocessing