Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale
Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260-310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid developm...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2020
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/143280 |
| _version_ | 1826129323626594304 |
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| author | Ward, Philip J. Blauhut, Veit Bloemendaal, Nadia Daniell, James E. de Ruiter, Marleen C. Duncan, Melanie J. Emberson, Robert Jenkins, Susanna F. Kirschbaum, Dalia Kunz, Michael Mohr, Susanna Muis, Sanne Riddell, Graeme A. Schäfer, Andreas Stanley, Thomas Veldkamp, Ted I. E. Winsemius, Hessel C. |
| author2 | Asian School of the Environment |
| author_facet | Asian School of the Environment Ward, Philip J. Blauhut, Veit Bloemendaal, Nadia Daniell, James E. de Ruiter, Marleen C. Duncan, Melanie J. Emberson, Robert Jenkins, Susanna F. Kirschbaum, Dalia Kunz, Michael Mohr, Susanna Muis, Sanne Riddell, Graeme A. Schäfer, Andreas Stanley, Thomas Veldkamp, Ted I. E. Winsemius, Hessel C. |
| author_sort | Ward, Philip J. |
| collection | NTU |
| description | Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260-310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and we specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and we identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, there are a number of global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards that have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whereas fewer exist in the peer-reviewed literature for global studies related to geological hazards. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage further dialogue on knowledge sharing between disciplines and communities working on different hazards and risk and at different spatial scales. |
| first_indexed | 2024-10-01T07:38:43Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | ntu-10356/143280 |
| institution | Nanyang Technological University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-10-01T07:38:43Z |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | ntu-10356/1432802020-09-26T21:36:30Z Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale Ward, Philip J. Blauhut, Veit Bloemendaal, Nadia Daniell, James E. de Ruiter, Marleen C. Duncan, Melanie J. Emberson, Robert Jenkins, Susanna F. Kirschbaum, Dalia Kunz, Michael Mohr, Susanna Muis, Sanne Riddell, Graeme A. Schäfer, Andreas Stanley, Thomas Veldkamp, Ted I. E. Winsemius, Hessel C. Asian School of the Environment Earth Observatory of Singapore Science::Geology Earthquake Natural Hazard Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260-310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and we specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and we identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, there are a number of global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards that have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whereas fewer exist in the peer-reviewed literature for global studies related to geological hazards. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage further dialogue on knowledge sharing between disciplines and communities working on different hazards and risk and at different spatial scales. Published version 2020-08-19T01:41:51Z 2020-08-19T01:41:51Z 2020 Journal Article Ward, P. J., Blauhut, V., Bloemendaal, N., Daniell, J. E., de Ruiter, M. C., Duncan, M. J. ... Winsemius, H. C. (2020). Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20(4), 1069-1096. doi:10.5194/nhess-20-1069-2020 1561-8633 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/143280 10.5194/nhess-20-1069-2020 2-s2.0-85084228767 4 20 1069 1096 en Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences © 2020 Author(s). This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. application/pdf |
| spellingShingle | Science::Geology Earthquake Natural Hazard Ward, Philip J. Blauhut, Veit Bloemendaal, Nadia Daniell, James E. de Ruiter, Marleen C. Duncan, Melanie J. Emberson, Robert Jenkins, Susanna F. Kirschbaum, Dalia Kunz, Michael Mohr, Susanna Muis, Sanne Riddell, Graeme A. Schäfer, Andreas Stanley, Thomas Veldkamp, Ted I. E. Winsemius, Hessel C. Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title | Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title_full | Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title_fullStr | Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title_full_unstemmed | Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title_short | Review article : natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| title_sort | review article natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale |
| topic | Science::Geology Earthquake Natural Hazard |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/143280 |
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