The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories

The COVID-19 pandemic has seen an unmatched level of panic buying globally, a type of herd behaviour whereby consumers buy an uncommonly huge amount of products because of a perception of scarcity. This creates huge supply chain disruptions at the international level because the excessive buying by...

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Main Author: Chua, Grace Chui Ling
Other Authors: Yuen Kum Fai
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/150439
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author Chua, Grace Chui Ling
author2 Yuen Kum Fai
author_facet Yuen Kum Fai
Chua, Grace Chui Ling
author_sort Chua, Grace Chui Ling
collection NTU
description The COVID-19 pandemic has seen an unmatched level of panic buying globally, a type of herd behaviour whereby consumers buy an uncommonly huge amount of products because of a perception of scarcity. This creates huge supply chain disruptions at the international level because the excessive buying by some consumers is unable to be met by the limited production capacity due to COVID-19 safety work measure restrictions. This leads to shortages and gaps in retail stores’ replenishment cycles. Drawing on the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories, this paper formulated a theoretical model that linked the determinants of panic buying and analysed their interrelationships. Subsequently, data were collated from 508 consumers through an online survey questionnaire in Singapore that was conducted during the early stage of the pandemic, before the onset of the circuit breaker in April 2020. Next, an analysis of the results was done through structural equation modelling. It showed that the effect of the health belief model dimensions (i.e. perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, outcome expectation, cues to action, and self-efficacy) on panic buying is partially mediated by the consumers’ perceived scarcity of products. Furthermore, the effect of perceived scarcity is partially mediated by consumers’ anticipation of regret. This paper differentiates from existing panic buying literature as it explains the panic buying behaviour through a theory-driven approach. It employs three distinct theories based on psychological, decision making, and abundance-scarcity research fields. Additionally, the theories are synthesised into a coherent model to account for the consumer’s cognition process that leads to panic buying. Overall, this paper expands on the current theoretical understanding of panic buying behaviour, giving insights into the possible measures and solutions that policymakers and relevant stakeholders can uptake to manage panic buying.
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spelling ntu-10356/1504392021-06-15T13:12:09Z The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories Chua, Grace Chui Ling Yuen Kum Fai School of Civil and Environmental Engineering kumfai.yuen@ntu.edu.sg Engineering::Maritime studies The COVID-19 pandemic has seen an unmatched level of panic buying globally, a type of herd behaviour whereby consumers buy an uncommonly huge amount of products because of a perception of scarcity. This creates huge supply chain disruptions at the international level because the excessive buying by some consumers is unable to be met by the limited production capacity due to COVID-19 safety work measure restrictions. This leads to shortages and gaps in retail stores’ replenishment cycles. Drawing on the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories, this paper formulated a theoretical model that linked the determinants of panic buying and analysed their interrelationships. Subsequently, data were collated from 508 consumers through an online survey questionnaire in Singapore that was conducted during the early stage of the pandemic, before the onset of the circuit breaker in April 2020. Next, an analysis of the results was done through structural equation modelling. It showed that the effect of the health belief model dimensions (i.e. perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, outcome expectation, cues to action, and self-efficacy) on panic buying is partially mediated by the consumers’ perceived scarcity of products. Furthermore, the effect of perceived scarcity is partially mediated by consumers’ anticipation of regret. This paper differentiates from existing panic buying literature as it explains the panic buying behaviour through a theory-driven approach. It employs three distinct theories based on psychological, decision making, and abundance-scarcity research fields. Additionally, the theories are synthesised into a coherent model to account for the consumer’s cognition process that leads to panic buying. Overall, this paper expands on the current theoretical understanding of panic buying behaviour, giving insights into the possible measures and solutions that policymakers and relevant stakeholders can uptake to manage panic buying. Bachelor of Science (Maritime Studies) 2021-06-15T08:03:59Z 2021-06-15T08:03:59Z 2021 Final Year Project (FYP) Chua, G. C. L. (2021). The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/150439 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/150439 en application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Engineering::Maritime studies
Chua, Grace Chui Ling
The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title_full The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title_fullStr The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title_full_unstemmed The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title_short The determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis : an application of the health belief model, perceived scarcity, and anticipated regret theories
title_sort determinants of panic buying during a public health crisis an application of the health belief model perceived scarcity and anticipated regret theories
topic Engineering::Maritime studies
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/150439
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