Application of statistical weather generators

WeaGETS is a MATLAB-based versatile random day-to-day weather generator. It can produce everyday rainfall amount, the maximum and minimum temperature for one station for any length of time. Because WeaGETS generates data over a long time, it is ideal for assessing agricultural and hydrological...

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Main Author: Wang, Qin Yu
Other Authors: Qin Xiaosheng
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154394
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author Wang, Qin Yu
author2 Qin Xiaosheng
author_facet Qin Xiaosheng
Wang, Qin Yu
author_sort Wang, Qin Yu
collection NTU
description WeaGETS is a MATLAB-based versatile random day-to-day weather generator. It can produce everyday rainfall amount, the maximum and minimum temperature for one station for any length of time. Because WeaGETS generates data over a long time, it is ideal for assessing agricultural and hydrological risk. It also allows for weather simulation in unknown regions. Furthermore, it can be used as a low-cost method to investigate the impact of climate change on a specific place. In this report, we use the first-order Markov model to generate the frequency of rainfall. Gamma distribution to produce everyday rainfall amount. Precipitation generating parameters have been smoothed using second-order Fourier Harmonics. Tmax and Tmin are generated under a conditional scheme. WeaGETS is being used to simulate twenty-three years of data from the Year 1894 to the Year 2006. We show all the details of data analysis for the first Year 1984 with the help of Excel and graph. For the other twenty-two years, data can be found in the appendix. We use MATLAB to run the WeaGETS. The coding we used had already been developed. Our primary target is to find the accuracy of the simulation data generated by WeaGETS then find the application of the WeaGETS. After comparing both data analyze based on yearly and monthly, we find WeaGETS underestimates the daily rainfall amount, frequency of rainfall, and minimum temperature. However, it overestimates the maximum temperature, so we hope the WeaGETS can be improved in the future. Moreover, we hope WeaGETS can develop to simulate not only for a single station. Finally, we also hope WeaGETS can add more climate parameters for the simulation.
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spelling ntu-10356/1543942021-12-23T12:04:51Z Application of statistical weather generators Wang, Qin Yu Qin Xiaosheng School of Civil and Environmental Engineering XSQIN@ntu.edu.sg Engineering::Civil engineering WeaGETS is a MATLAB-based versatile random day-to-day weather generator. It can produce everyday rainfall amount, the maximum and minimum temperature for one station for any length of time. Because WeaGETS generates data over a long time, it is ideal for assessing agricultural and hydrological risk. It also allows for weather simulation in unknown regions. Furthermore, it can be used as a low-cost method to investigate the impact of climate change on a specific place. In this report, we use the first-order Markov model to generate the frequency of rainfall. Gamma distribution to produce everyday rainfall amount. Precipitation generating parameters have been smoothed using second-order Fourier Harmonics. Tmax and Tmin are generated under a conditional scheme. WeaGETS is being used to simulate twenty-three years of data from the Year 1894 to the Year 2006. We show all the details of data analysis for the first Year 1984 with the help of Excel and graph. For the other twenty-two years, data can be found in the appendix. We use MATLAB to run the WeaGETS. The coding we used had already been developed. Our primary target is to find the accuracy of the simulation data generated by WeaGETS then find the application of the WeaGETS. After comparing both data analyze based on yearly and monthly, we find WeaGETS underestimates the daily rainfall amount, frequency of rainfall, and minimum temperature. However, it overestimates the maximum temperature, so we hope the WeaGETS can be improved in the future. Moreover, we hope WeaGETS can develop to simulate not only for a single station. Finally, we also hope WeaGETS can add more climate parameters for the simulation. Bachelor of Engineering (Civil) 2021-12-23T12:04:51Z 2021-12-23T12:04:51Z 2021 Final Year Project (FYP) Wang, Q. Y. (2021). Application of statistical weather generators. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154394 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154394 en WR-30 application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Engineering::Civil engineering
Wang, Qin Yu
Application of statistical weather generators
title Application of statistical weather generators
title_full Application of statistical weather generators
title_fullStr Application of statistical weather generators
title_full_unstemmed Application of statistical weather generators
title_short Application of statistical weather generators
title_sort application of statistical weather generators
topic Engineering::Civil engineering
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154394
work_keys_str_mv AT wangqinyu applicationofstatisticalweathergenerators