Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning

Efficient airport operations depend on appropriate actions and reactions to current constraints. Local weather events and their impact on airport performance may have network-wide effects. The classification of expected weather impacts enables efficient consideration in airport operations on a tacti...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Schultz, Michael, Reitmann, Stefan, Alam, Sameer
Other Authors: Air Traffic Management Research Institute
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154997
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author Schultz, Michael
Reitmann, Stefan
Alam, Sameer
author2 Air Traffic Management Research Institute
author_facet Air Traffic Management Research Institute
Schultz, Michael
Reitmann, Stefan
Alam, Sameer
author_sort Schultz, Michael
collection NTU
description Efficient airport operations depend on appropriate actions and reactions to current constraints. Local weather events and their impact on airport performance may have network-wide effects. The classification of expected weather impacts enables efficient consideration in airport operations on a tactical level. We classify airport performance with recurrent and convolutional neural networks considering weather data. We are using London–Gatwick Airport to apply our developed approach. The weather data is derived from local meteorological reports and airport performance is derived from both flight plan data and reported delays. We show that the application of machine learning approaches is an appropriate method to quantify the correlation between decreased airport performance and the severity of local weather events. The developed models could achieve prediction accuracy higher than 90% for departure movements. We see our approach as one key element for a deeper understanding of interdependencies between local and network operations in the air transportation system.
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spelling ntu-10356/1549972022-01-29T20:10:24Z Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning Schultz, Michael Reitmann, Stefan Alam, Sameer Air Traffic Management Research Institute Engineering::Aeronautical engineering Machine Learning Air Traffic Management Efficient airport operations depend on appropriate actions and reactions to current constraints. Local weather events and their impact on airport performance may have network-wide effects. The classification of expected weather impacts enables efficient consideration in airport operations on a tactical level. We classify airport performance with recurrent and convolutional neural networks considering weather data. We are using London–Gatwick Airport to apply our developed approach. The weather data is derived from local meteorological reports and airport performance is derived from both flight plan data and reported delays. We show that the application of machine learning approaches is an appropriate method to quantify the correlation between decreased airport performance and the severity of local weather events. The developed models could achieve prediction accuracy higher than 90% for departure movements. We see our approach as one key element for a deeper understanding of interdependencies between local and network operations in the air transportation system. Accepted version 2022-01-26T02:37:35Z 2022-01-26T02:37:35Z 2021 Journal Article Schultz, M., Reitmann, S. & Alam, S. (2021). Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 131, 103119-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2021.103119 0968-090X https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154997 10.1016/j.trc.2021.103119 2-s2.0-85113679227 131 103119 en Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This paper was published in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies and is made available with permission of Elsevier Ltd. application/pdf
spellingShingle Engineering::Aeronautical engineering
Machine Learning
Air Traffic Management
Schultz, Michael
Reitmann, Stefan
Alam, Sameer
Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title_full Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title_fullStr Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title_short Predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
title_sort predictive classification and understanding of weather impact on airport performance through machine learning
topic Engineering::Aeronautical engineering
Machine Learning
Air Traffic Management
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/154997
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AT reitmannstefan predictiveclassificationandunderstandingofweatherimpactonairportperformancethroughmachinelearning
AT alamsameer predictiveclassificationandunderstandingofweatherimpactonairportperformancethroughmachinelearning