Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling

Analyzing the energy consumption for road entities and the corresponding driving behaviors are critical tasks for the realization of public traffic with a low energy cost and high efficiency. In this study, a personalized energy consumption analysis and prediction framework are proposed to estimate...

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Main Authors: Xing, Yang, Lv, Chen, Cao, Dongpu, Lu, Chao
Other Authors: School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/155497
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author Xing, Yang
Lv, Chen
Cao, Dongpu
Lu, Chao
author2 School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
author_facet School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
Xing, Yang
Lv, Chen
Cao, Dongpu
Lu, Chao
author_sort Xing, Yang
collection NTU
description Analyzing the energy consumption for road entities and the corresponding driving behaviors are critical tasks for the realization of public traffic with a low energy cost and high efficiency. In this study, a personalized energy consumption analysis and prediction framework are proposed to estimate future energy consumption and the speed of a vehicle. An accumulation energy consumption index is predicted based on the features of the driving behavior. This approach is independent of the vehicle style, and it can play a critical role in the estimation of energy consumption as well as energy management for both petrol and electric vehicles. Three different energy-oriented driving behaviors are first identified and compared. It is shown that the vehicles with heavy energy usage have the characteristics of a higher speed, larger acceleration, larger headway space, and smaller headway time. The relationship between the energy consumptions and acceleration-deceleration characteristics are analyzed, and it is noted that the heavy energy users tend to perform acceleration maneuvers more frequently and with a longer period. Finally, a personalized joint time series modeling system based on the long short-term memory and a recurrent neural network is designed to jointly estimate the future energy consumption index considering different driving styles. It is found that the proposed personalized sequence prediction framework can generate more accurate results than the models that do not consider the energy cost levels and driving behaviors. The next-generation simulation data for free highway driving behaviors are used for the analysis and model evaluation.
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spelling ntu-10356/1554972022-03-02T08:29:15Z Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling Xing, Yang Lv, Chen Cao, Dongpu Lu, Chao School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Engineering::Mechanical engineering Energy Analysis Driving Behaviors Analyzing the energy consumption for road entities and the corresponding driving behaviors are critical tasks for the realization of public traffic with a low energy cost and high efficiency. In this study, a personalized energy consumption analysis and prediction framework are proposed to estimate future energy consumption and the speed of a vehicle. An accumulation energy consumption index is predicted based on the features of the driving behavior. This approach is independent of the vehicle style, and it can play a critical role in the estimation of energy consumption as well as energy management for both petrol and electric vehicles. Three different energy-oriented driving behaviors are first identified and compared. It is shown that the vehicles with heavy energy usage have the characteristics of a higher speed, larger acceleration, larger headway space, and smaller headway time. The relationship between the energy consumptions and acceleration-deceleration characteristics are analyzed, and it is noted that the heavy energy users tend to perform acceleration maneuvers more frequently and with a longer period. Finally, a personalized joint time series modeling system based on the long short-term memory and a recurrent neural network is designed to jointly estimate the future energy consumption index considering different driving styles. It is found that the proposed personalized sequence prediction framework can generate more accurate results than the models that do not consider the energy cost levels and driving behaviors. The next-generation simulation data for free highway driving behaviors are used for the analysis and model evaluation. Nanyang Technological University This work was supported by the SUG-NAP Grant (No. M4082268.050) of Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. 2022-03-02T08:29:15Z 2022-03-02T08:29:15Z 2020 Journal Article Xing, Y., Lv, C., Cao, D. & Lu, C. (2020). Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling. Applied Energy, 261, 114471-. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114471 0306-2619 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/155497 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114471 2-s2.0-85077441219 261 114471 en M4082268.050 Applied Energy © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
spellingShingle Engineering::Mechanical engineering
Energy Analysis
Driving Behaviors
Xing, Yang
Lv, Chen
Cao, Dongpu
Lu, Chao
Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title_full Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title_fullStr Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title_full_unstemmed Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title_short Energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
title_sort energy oriented driving behavior analysis and personalized prediction of vehicle states with joint time series modeling
topic Engineering::Mechanical engineering
Energy Analysis
Driving Behaviors
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/155497
work_keys_str_mv AT xingyang energyorienteddrivingbehavioranalysisandpersonalizedpredictionofvehiclestateswithjointtimeseriesmodeling
AT lvchen energyorienteddrivingbehavioranalysisandpersonalizedpredictionofvehiclestateswithjointtimeseriesmodeling
AT caodongpu energyorienteddrivingbehavioranalysisandpersonalizedpredictionofvehiclestateswithjointtimeseriesmodeling
AT luchao energyorienteddrivingbehavioranalysisandpersonalizedpredictionofvehiclestateswithjointtimeseriesmodeling