Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system

There are many problems faced by fund managers in managing a portfolio. The common problems consist of not knowing how to allocate assets, which stocks to include, and how to rebalance assets in the portfolio. Most portfolios today are managed by active fund managers. The issue with active portfolio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Book, Jeremy Kay Yip
Other Authors: Quek Hiok Chai
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156492
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author Book, Jeremy Kay Yip
author2 Quek Hiok Chai
author_facet Quek Hiok Chai
Book, Jeremy Kay Yip
author_sort Book, Jeremy Kay Yip
collection NTU
description There are many problems faced by fund managers in managing a portfolio. The common problems consist of not knowing how to allocate assets, which stocks to include, and how to rebalance assets in the portfolio. Most portfolios today are managed by active fund managers. The issue with active portfolio management by an active fund manager is often plagued by limitations and shortcomings, such as limited processing capabilities of the human brain and the presence of cognitive biases such as overconfidence that can be developed over time due to previous successes. Artificial intelligence (AI) and Machine learning (ML) have been adopted by fund managers to assist with their active portfolio management process [1]. The predictive ability of AI and ML can provide fund managers with forecasted information in the stock market, allowing them to make early informed decisions for upside potential profits. However, AI and ML lack interpretability regarding how their outputs are derived and thus function as black boxes [3]. The black box nature of AI and ML makes it seem unreliable and uncertain. Without a proper explanation of the predicted output, humans tend to feel sceptical and doubtful. Hence it is desirable to have an architecture that has predictive ability and provides interpretations. This paper proposes and illustrates an architecture, Support Vector Fuzzy Parallel Embedded System (SVFPS) by incorporating a fuzzy system embedded with machine learning. The proposed architecture functions as a predictive model with an ability to form highly intuitive IF-THEN fuzzy rules to provide linguistic insights of how outputs are derived. The effectiveness of the proposed architecture, Support Vector Fuzzy Parallel Embedded System (SVFPS) is evaluated by incorporating SVFPS into a portfolio management system with several sector Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The experimental results showed that the portfolio management incorporated with the proposed SVFPS has outperformed benchmarks of commonly used investing strategies.
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spelling ntu-10356/1564922022-04-17T13:13:14Z Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system Book, Jeremy Kay Yip Quek Hiok Chai School of Computer Science and Engineering ASHCQUEK@ntu.edu.sg Engineering::Computer science and engineering There are many problems faced by fund managers in managing a portfolio. The common problems consist of not knowing how to allocate assets, which stocks to include, and how to rebalance assets in the portfolio. Most portfolios today are managed by active fund managers. The issue with active portfolio management by an active fund manager is often plagued by limitations and shortcomings, such as limited processing capabilities of the human brain and the presence of cognitive biases such as overconfidence that can be developed over time due to previous successes. Artificial intelligence (AI) and Machine learning (ML) have been adopted by fund managers to assist with their active portfolio management process [1]. The predictive ability of AI and ML can provide fund managers with forecasted information in the stock market, allowing them to make early informed decisions for upside potential profits. However, AI and ML lack interpretability regarding how their outputs are derived and thus function as black boxes [3]. The black box nature of AI and ML makes it seem unreliable and uncertain. Without a proper explanation of the predicted output, humans tend to feel sceptical and doubtful. Hence it is desirable to have an architecture that has predictive ability and provides interpretations. This paper proposes and illustrates an architecture, Support Vector Fuzzy Parallel Embedded System (SVFPS) by incorporating a fuzzy system embedded with machine learning. The proposed architecture functions as a predictive model with an ability to form highly intuitive IF-THEN fuzzy rules to provide linguistic insights of how outputs are derived. The effectiveness of the proposed architecture, Support Vector Fuzzy Parallel Embedded System (SVFPS) is evaluated by incorporating SVFPS into a portfolio management system with several sector Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). The experimental results showed that the portfolio management incorporated with the proposed SVFPS has outperformed benchmarks of commonly used investing strategies. Bachelor of Engineering (Computer Science) 2022-04-17T13:13:13Z 2022-04-17T13:13:13Z 2022 Final Year Project (FYP) Book, J. K. Y. (2022). Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156492 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156492 en SCSE21-0431 application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Engineering::Computer science and engineering
Book, Jeremy Kay Yip
Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title_full Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title_fullStr Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title_full_unstemmed Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title_short Support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
title_sort support vector fuzzy parallel embedded system
topic Engineering::Computer science and engineering
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156492
work_keys_str_mv AT bookjeremykayyip supportvectorfuzzyparallelembeddedsystem