Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines

In the Philippines, a consistently high prevalence of smoking and alcohol has resulted in a multitude of adverse health consequences for many Filipinos. In response to the rising public health burden, policymakers have been prompted to implement taxation policies to reduce the prevalence of smoking...

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Main Authors: Seah, Bryan Kai Wen, Ho, Pei Xuan, Lim, Pei Xuan
Other Authors: Akshar Saxena
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156822
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author Seah, Bryan Kai Wen
Ho, Pei Xuan
Lim, Pei Xuan
author2 Akshar Saxena
author_facet Akshar Saxena
Seah, Bryan Kai Wen
Ho, Pei Xuan
Lim, Pei Xuan
author_sort Seah, Bryan Kai Wen
collection NTU
description In the Philippines, a consistently high prevalence of smoking and alcohol has resulted in a multitude of adverse health consequences for many Filipinos. In response to the rising public health burden, policymakers have been prompted to implement taxation policies to reduce the prevalence of smoking and alcohol. The Sin Tax Reform Act (STL) was thus introduced in 2012 with the primary aim to improve public health. The purpose of this study is thus to evaluate whether the STL has been effective in reducing tobacco and alcohol consumption. With the datasets provided from Republic of Philippines Department of Science and Technology – Food and Nutrition Research Institute (DOST-FNRI), we use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Logistic and Tobit regressions to analyse the relationship between the increase in taxes and consumption level of tobacco and alcohol products. To address the missing data issue for smoking variable, a categorical variable was transformed into a dichotomous variable to produce a dependent variable suitable for logit regression. We find that taxes on tobacco reduced prevalence of smoking by 15.4% from 2008 to 2018, whereas drinking prevalence had increased significantly. With respect to drinking intensity however, a reduction by 0.246 units was found. We also found a significant reduction in smoking prevalence across all demographic groups such as gender, education, wealth, urbanity, age, and occupation status. Despite the taxes on alcohol products, we observe a significant increase in drinking prevalence across the demographic groups. Drinking intensity has seen a significant decline for both gender and those aged 20 to 29 years old. In conclusion, our study revealed that STL had been successful in reducing the consumption of tobacco. Whereas for alcohol, our results showed that taxes on alcohol products have not been as effective in reducing consumption in the Philippines over the years since the implementation of the STL. The upwards trend for alcohol consumption over the years thus suggests a need for policymakers to consider further increases in taxations on alcohol product in order to improve the pass-through rate.
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spelling ntu-10356/1568222023-03-05T15:42:46Z Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines Seah, Bryan Kai Wen Ho, Pei Xuan Lim, Pei Xuan Akshar Saxena School of Social Sciences aksharsaxena@ntu.edu.sg Social sciences::Economic development::Philippines Social sciences::Economic theory::Public finance In the Philippines, a consistently high prevalence of smoking and alcohol has resulted in a multitude of adverse health consequences for many Filipinos. In response to the rising public health burden, policymakers have been prompted to implement taxation policies to reduce the prevalence of smoking and alcohol. The Sin Tax Reform Act (STL) was thus introduced in 2012 with the primary aim to improve public health. The purpose of this study is thus to evaluate whether the STL has been effective in reducing tobacco and alcohol consumption. With the datasets provided from Republic of Philippines Department of Science and Technology – Food and Nutrition Research Institute (DOST-FNRI), we use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Logistic and Tobit regressions to analyse the relationship between the increase in taxes and consumption level of tobacco and alcohol products. To address the missing data issue for smoking variable, a categorical variable was transformed into a dichotomous variable to produce a dependent variable suitable for logit regression. We find that taxes on tobacco reduced prevalence of smoking by 15.4% from 2008 to 2018, whereas drinking prevalence had increased significantly. With respect to drinking intensity however, a reduction by 0.246 units was found. We also found a significant reduction in smoking prevalence across all demographic groups such as gender, education, wealth, urbanity, age, and occupation status. Despite the taxes on alcohol products, we observe a significant increase in drinking prevalence across the demographic groups. Drinking intensity has seen a significant decline for both gender and those aged 20 to 29 years old. In conclusion, our study revealed that STL had been successful in reducing the consumption of tobacco. Whereas for alcohol, our results showed that taxes on alcohol products have not been as effective in reducing consumption in the Philippines over the years since the implementation of the STL. The upwards trend for alcohol consumption over the years thus suggests a need for policymakers to consider further increases in taxations on alcohol product in order to improve the pass-through rate. Bachelor of Arts in Economics 2022-04-24T14:25:15Z 2022-04-24T14:25:15Z 2022 Final Year Project (FYP) Seah, B. K. W., Ho, P. X. & Lim, P. X. (2022). Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156822 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156822 en HE1AY2122_18 application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Social sciences::Economic development::Philippines
Social sciences::Economic theory::Public finance
Seah, Bryan Kai Wen
Ho, Pei Xuan
Lim, Pei Xuan
Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title_full Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title_fullStr Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title_full_unstemmed Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title_short Economic evaluation of the Sin Tax Reform Act for alcohol and smoking in the Philippines
title_sort economic evaluation of the sin tax reform act for alcohol and smoking in the philippines
topic Social sciences::Economic development::Philippines
Social sciences::Economic theory::Public finance
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/156822
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