Use of input-output tables for shock assessment

Economic linkages between production sectors contribute to macroeconomic volatility. Such volatility could pose a threat to economic growth. Evidence suggests that volatility may, over time, result in lower levels of private investment, consumption, and productivity. There is also a significant co...

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Main Author: Khoo, Lim Chun Kee
Other Authors: Lo Yat-Man, Edmond
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/163829
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author Khoo, Lim Chun Kee
author2 Lo Yat-Man, Edmond
author_facet Lo Yat-Man, Edmond
Khoo, Lim Chun Kee
author_sort Khoo, Lim Chun Kee
collection NTU
description Economic linkages between production sectors contribute to macroeconomic volatility. Such volatility could pose a threat to economic growth. Evidence suggests that volatility may, over time, result in lower levels of private investment, consumption, and productivity. There is also a significant correlation between volatility and financial crises. In addition, economic shocks happen periodically in economies though with variations in their magnitudes. Therefore, an analytical framework for shock assessment is essential for the relevant authorities to appreciate the impacts and thus be able to formulate more robust economic policies. This allows room for timely countermeasures and hopefully prevention against huge economic loss. This project adopts the Input-Output Model to study the impact of an economic shock on the supply chain, that is a decline in primary input or final demand for Singapore and Thailand. In addition, an attempt has been made to regionalise the Singapore national model to the 5 regions of Singapore using employment data. It is found that at the national level, Singapore’s construction plays a vital role in the supply chain. Furthermore, supply shocks to utilities and construction in certain regions could lead to huge economic losses as a result of stronger linkages.
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spelling ntu-10356/1638292022-12-19T08:23:57Z Use of input-output tables for shock assessment Khoo, Lim Chun Kee Lo Yat-Man, Edmond School of Civil and Environmental Engineering cymlo@ntu.edu.sg Social sciences::Economic theory Engineering::Civil engineering Economic linkages between production sectors contribute to macroeconomic volatility. Such volatility could pose a threat to economic growth. Evidence suggests that volatility may, over time, result in lower levels of private investment, consumption, and productivity. There is also a significant correlation between volatility and financial crises. In addition, economic shocks happen periodically in economies though with variations in their magnitudes. Therefore, an analytical framework for shock assessment is essential for the relevant authorities to appreciate the impacts and thus be able to formulate more robust economic policies. This allows room for timely countermeasures and hopefully prevention against huge economic loss. This project adopts the Input-Output Model to study the impact of an economic shock on the supply chain, that is a decline in primary input or final demand for Singapore and Thailand. In addition, an attempt has been made to regionalise the Singapore national model to the 5 regions of Singapore using employment data. It is found that at the national level, Singapore’s construction plays a vital role in the supply chain. Furthermore, supply shocks to utilities and construction in certain regions could lead to huge economic losses as a result of stronger linkages. Bachelor of Engineering (Civil) Bachelor of Social Sciences in Economics 2022-12-19T08:20:34Z 2022-12-19T08:20:34Z 2023 Final Year Project (FYP) Khoo, L. C. K. (2023). Use of input-output tables for shock assessment. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/163829 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/163829 en application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Social sciences::Economic theory
Engineering::Civil engineering
Khoo, Lim Chun Kee
Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title_full Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title_fullStr Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title_full_unstemmed Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title_short Use of input-output tables for shock assessment
title_sort use of input output tables for shock assessment
topic Social sciences::Economic theory
Engineering::Civil engineering
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/163829
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