Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site

Numerous tsunami numerical models have been proposed, but their prediction accuracies have not been directly compared. For quantifying the modeling uncertainties, the authors statistically analyzed the prediction results submitted by participants in the tsunami blind contest held at the 17th World C...

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Main Authors: Watanabe, Masashi, Arikawa, Taro, Kihara, Naoto, Tsurudome, Chiaki, Hosaka, Koichi, Kimura, Tatsuto, Hashimoto, Takayuki, Ishihara, Fumitaka, Shikata, Takemi, Morikawa, Daniel Shigueo, Makino, Taiga, Asai, Mitsuteru, Chida, Yu, Ohnishi, Yoichi, Marras, Simone, Mukherjee, Abhishek, Cajas, Juan Carlos, Houzeaux, Guillaume, Paolo, B. D., Lara, Javier L., Barajas, Gabriel, Losada, Íñigo J., Hasebe, Masanobu, Shigihara, Yoshinori, Asai, Tatsuya, Ikeya, Tsuyoshi, Inoue, Shusaku, Matsutomi, Hideo, Nakano, Yoshiaki, Okuda, Yasuo, Okuno, Shunya, Ooie, Takayuki, Shoji, Gaku, Tateno, Tomokazu
Other Authors: Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N)
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/165021
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author Watanabe, Masashi
Arikawa, Taro
Kihara, Naoto
Tsurudome, Chiaki
Hosaka, Koichi
Kimura, Tatsuto
Hashimoto, Takayuki
Ishihara, Fumitaka
Shikata, Takemi
Morikawa, Daniel Shigueo
Makino, Taiga
Asai, Mitsuteru
Chida, Yu
Ohnishi, Yoichi
Marras, Simone
Mukherjee, Abhishek
Cajas, Juan Carlos
Houzeaux, Guillaume
Paolo, B. D.
Lara, Javier L.
Barajas, Gabriel
Losada, Íñigo J.
Hasebe, Masanobu
Shigihara, Yoshinori
Asai, Tatsuya
Ikeya, Tsuyoshi
Inoue, Shusaku
Matsutomi, Hideo
Nakano, Yoshiaki
Okuda, Yasuo
Okuno, Shunya
Ooie, Takayuki
Shoji, Gaku
Tateno, Tomokazu
author2 Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N)
author_facet Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N)
Watanabe, Masashi
Arikawa, Taro
Kihara, Naoto
Tsurudome, Chiaki
Hosaka, Koichi
Kimura, Tatsuto
Hashimoto, Takayuki
Ishihara, Fumitaka
Shikata, Takemi
Morikawa, Daniel Shigueo
Makino, Taiga
Asai, Mitsuteru
Chida, Yu
Ohnishi, Yoichi
Marras, Simone
Mukherjee, Abhishek
Cajas, Juan Carlos
Houzeaux, Guillaume
Paolo, B. D.
Lara, Javier L.
Barajas, Gabriel
Losada, Íñigo J.
Hasebe, Masanobu
Shigihara, Yoshinori
Asai, Tatsuya
Ikeya, Tsuyoshi
Inoue, Shusaku
Matsutomi, Hideo
Nakano, Yoshiaki
Okuda, Yasuo
Okuno, Shunya
Ooie, Takayuki
Shoji, Gaku
Tateno, Tomokazu
author_sort Watanabe, Masashi
collection NTU
description Numerous tsunami numerical models have been proposed, but their prediction accuracies have not been directly compared. For quantifying the modeling uncertainties, the authors statistically analyzed the prediction results submitted by participants in the tsunami blind contest held at the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. The reproducibility of offshore water level generated due to the tsunami with soliton fission significantly decreased when the nonlinear shallow water equation models (NSWE) was used compared to three-dimensional (3D) models. The inundation depth was reproduced well in 3D models. However, the reproducibility of wave forces acting on the structure and velocities over land was lower in 3D models than that in NSWE models. For cases where the impulsive tsunami wave pressure generated could not be calculated based on the hydrostatic assumption, the prediction accuracy of the NSWE models was higher than that of the 3D models. The prediction accuracies of both models were not improved at small grid-cell sizes. The NSWE model cannot simulate the short-wave component and vertical pressure distribution. Therefore, further developments in 3D models and smoothed particle hydrodynamics methods (SPH) are needed. The presented results contribute to the future development of tsunami numerical simulation tools.
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spelling ntu-10356/1650212023-03-14T15:37:51Z Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site Watanabe, Masashi Arikawa, Taro Kihara, Naoto Tsurudome, Chiaki Hosaka, Koichi Kimura, Tatsuto Hashimoto, Takayuki Ishihara, Fumitaka Shikata, Takemi Morikawa, Daniel Shigueo Makino, Taiga Asai, Mitsuteru Chida, Yu Ohnishi, Yoichi Marras, Simone Mukherjee, Abhishek Cajas, Juan Carlos Houzeaux, Guillaume Paolo, B. D. Lara, Javier L. Barajas, Gabriel Losada, Íñigo J. Hasebe, Masanobu Shigihara, Yoshinori Asai, Tatsuya Ikeya, Tsuyoshi Inoue, Shusaku Matsutomi, Hideo Nakano, Yoshiaki Okuda, Yasuo Okuno, Shunya Ooie, Takayuki Shoji, Gaku Tateno, Tomokazu Energy Research Institute @ NTU (ERI@N) Science::Geology Tsunami Numerical Simulation Numerous tsunami numerical models have been proposed, but their prediction accuracies have not been directly compared. For quantifying the modeling uncertainties, the authors statistically analyzed the prediction results submitted by participants in the tsunami blind contest held at the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering. The reproducibility of offshore water level generated due to the tsunami with soliton fission significantly decreased when the nonlinear shallow water equation models (NSWE) was used compared to three-dimensional (3D) models. The inundation depth was reproduced well in 3D models. However, the reproducibility of wave forces acting on the structure and velocities over land was lower in 3D models than that in NSWE models. For cases where the impulsive tsunami wave pressure generated could not be calculated based on the hydrostatic assumption, the prediction accuracy of the NSWE models was higher than that of the 3D models. The prediction accuracies of both models were not improved at small grid-cell sizes. The NSWE model cannot simulate the short-wave component and vertical pressure distribution. Therefore, further developments in 3D models and smoothed particle hydrodynamics methods (SPH) are needed. The presented results contribute to the future development of tsunami numerical simulation tools. Published version 2023-03-08T01:38:36Z 2023-03-08T01:38:36Z 2022 Journal Article Watanabe, M., Arikawa, T., Kihara, N., Tsurudome, C., Hosaka, K., Kimura, T., Hashimoto, T., Ishihara, F., Shikata, T., Morikawa, D. S., Makino, T., Asai, M., Chida, Y., Ohnishi, Y., Marras, S., Mukherjee, A., Cajas, J. C., Houzeaux, G., Paolo, B. D., ...Tateno, T. (2022). Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site. Coastal Engineering Journal, 64(2), 302-343. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21664250.2022.2072611 0578-5634 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/165021 10.1080/21664250.2022.2072611 2-s2.0-85131192618 2 64 302 343 en Coastal Engineering Journal © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by- nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. application/pdf
spellingShingle Science::Geology
Tsunami
Numerical Simulation
Watanabe, Masashi
Arikawa, Taro
Kihara, Naoto
Tsurudome, Chiaki
Hosaka, Koichi
Kimura, Tatsuto
Hashimoto, Takayuki
Ishihara, Fumitaka
Shikata, Takemi
Morikawa, Daniel Shigueo
Makino, Taiga
Asai, Mitsuteru
Chida, Yu
Ohnishi, Yoichi
Marras, Simone
Mukherjee, Abhishek
Cajas, Juan Carlos
Houzeaux, Guillaume
Paolo, B. D.
Lara, Javier L.
Barajas, Gabriel
Losada, Íñigo J.
Hasebe, Masanobu
Shigihara, Yoshinori
Asai, Tatsuya
Ikeya, Tsuyoshi
Inoue, Shusaku
Matsutomi, Hideo
Nakano, Yoshiaki
Okuda, Yasuo
Okuno, Shunya
Ooie, Takayuki
Shoji, Gaku
Tateno, Tomokazu
Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title_full Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title_fullStr Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title_full_unstemmed Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title_short Validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
title_sort validation of tsunami numerical simulation models for an idealized coastal industrial site
topic Science::Geology
Tsunami
Numerical Simulation
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/165021
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