Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance

High-frequency trading (HFT) has emerged as a prominent domain within quantitative trading, leveraging advanced algorithms to exploit microsecond-level market inefficiencies, particularly evident in the volatile Cryptocurrency (Crypto) market. Despite its potential, HFT faces challenges such as low...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Zhao, Yuqing
Other Authors: Bo An
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: Nanyang Technological University 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/174971
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author Zhao, Yuqing
author2 Bo An
author_facet Bo An
Zhao, Yuqing
author_sort Zhao, Yuqing
collection NTU
description High-frequency trading (HFT) has emerged as a prominent domain within quantitative trading, leveraging advanced algorithms to exploit microsecond-level market inefficiencies, particularly evident in the volatile Cryptocurrency (Crypto) market. Despite its potential, HFT faces challenges such as low data efficiency, dynamic market changes, complexity in decision-making, and a lack of explainability. In response, this study presents a novel approach rooted in Reinforcement Learning (RL) to enhance HFT’s efficiency and explainability. Leveraging a hierarchical Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework and integrating feature importance analysis methods, the proposed methodology demonstrates significant improvements in efficiency across various financial criteria, outperforming existing baselines. Furthermore, the incorporation of explainable methods enhances transparency, especially in complex decision-making scenarios. Observations from feature importance analysis shed light on critical market dynamics, informing trading strategies. Future work includes extending the proposed approach to low-frequency data, feature importance for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and exploring predictive analysis of feature importance on price patterns, promising avenues for advancing quantitative finance strategies.
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spelling ntu-10356/1749712024-04-19T15:46:34Z Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance Zhao, Yuqing Bo An School of Computer Science and Engineering boan@ntu.edu.sg Computer and Information Science High-frequency trading Explainable AI Reinforcement learning Quantitative finance High-frequency trading (HFT) has emerged as a prominent domain within quantitative trading, leveraging advanced algorithms to exploit microsecond-level market inefficiencies, particularly evident in the volatile Cryptocurrency (Crypto) market. Despite its potential, HFT faces challenges such as low data efficiency, dynamic market changes, complexity in decision-making, and a lack of explainability. In response, this study presents a novel approach rooted in Reinforcement Learning (RL) to enhance HFT’s efficiency and explainability. Leveraging a hierarchical Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework and integrating feature importance analysis methods, the proposed methodology demonstrates significant improvements in efficiency across various financial criteria, outperforming existing baselines. Furthermore, the incorporation of explainable methods enhances transparency, especially in complex decision-making scenarios. Observations from feature importance analysis shed light on critical market dynamics, informing trading strategies. Future work includes extending the proposed approach to low-frequency data, feature importance for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and exploring predictive analysis of feature importance on price patterns, promising avenues for advancing quantitative finance strategies. Bachelor's degree 2024-04-17T07:42:45Z 2024-04-17T07:42:45Z 2024 Final Year Project (FYP) Zhao, Y. (2024). Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance. Final Year Project (FYP), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/174971 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/174971 en SCSE23-0055 application/pdf Nanyang Technological University
spellingShingle Computer and Information Science
High-frequency trading
Explainable AI
Reinforcement learning
Quantitative finance
Zhao, Yuqing
Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title_full Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title_fullStr Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title_full_unstemmed Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title_short Explaining reinforcement learning agent for high-frequency trading in quantitative finance
title_sort explaining reinforcement learning agent for high frequency trading in quantitative finance
topic Computer and Information Science
High-frequency trading
Explainable AI
Reinforcement learning
Quantitative finance
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/174971
work_keys_str_mv AT zhaoyuqing explainingreinforcementlearningagentforhighfrequencytradinginquantitativefinance