| Summary: | Following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, allegedly by Israel, Iran weighs its response, considering the benefits of delaying retaliation to exploit Israel’s internal political instability while avoiding a strong US military reaction. The strategic calculations also involve Hezbollah’s potential role, influenced by Iranian leadership, and the broader implications for Lebanon, already struggling with severe economic and political crises. This calculated restraint reflects Iran’s aim to avoid further escalating tensions with Israel and the US.
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