A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area

This paper presents an objective, data-driven framework for quantifying air traffic complexity in the Terminal Manoeuvring Area (TMA) using historical ADS-B data from Singapore TMA. The motivation for developing this framework stems from the limitations of traditional subjective measures, which are...

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Main Authors: Lim, Zhi Jun, Dhief, Imen, Pham, Duc-Thinh, Alam, Sameer, Delahaye, Daniel
Other Authors: School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
Format: Conference Paper
Language:English
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/181825
https://www.sesarju.eu/SIDS2024
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author Lim, Zhi Jun
Dhief, Imen
Pham, Duc-Thinh
Alam, Sameer
Delahaye, Daniel
author2 School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
author_facet School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering
Lim, Zhi Jun
Dhief, Imen
Pham, Duc-Thinh
Alam, Sameer
Delahaye, Daniel
author_sort Lim, Zhi Jun
collection NTU
description This paper presents an objective, data-driven framework for quantifying air traffic complexity in the Terminal Manoeuvring Area (TMA) using historical ADS-B data from Singapore TMA. The motivation for developing this framework stems from the limitations of traditional subjective measures, which are often influenced by individual perceptions and can vary significantly between air traffic controllers. Subjective measures may also fail to capture real-time operational demands, especially in complex, high-density environments such as Singapore TMA. By focusing on operational outcomes—specifically vectoring and holding patterns—the framework provides a more accurate reflection of real-time complexity. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and k-means clustering are employed to classify complexity levels based on trajectory features such as arc lengths, curvatures, and holding durations. The results show that total arc lengths and curvatures are significant complexity factors, with extensive vectoring contributing more to TMA complexity than holding patterns. The significance of this work lies in its data-driven and objective approach to measuring air traffic complexity, offering a more accurate reflection of real-time demands compared to traditional subjective methods. Quantitative evaluations across multiple real-world scenarios validate the framework's effectiveness, showing that TMA complexity is more strongly associated with vectoring intensity and holding patterns than with flight density alone. This current framework can be extended to incorporate vertical profiles of arrival and departure flights and develop predictive models with practical, actionable lookahead times for real-time air traffic management.
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spelling ntu-10356/1818252024-12-31T15:31:01Z A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area Lim, Zhi Jun Dhief, Imen Pham, Duc-Thinh Alam, Sameer Delahaye, Daniel School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering SESAR Innovation Days 2024 Air Traffic Management Research Institute Computer and Information Science Engineering Air traffic management Terminal manoeuvring area Complexity Data-driven Unsupervised machine learning Clustering This paper presents an objective, data-driven framework for quantifying air traffic complexity in the Terminal Manoeuvring Area (TMA) using historical ADS-B data from Singapore TMA. The motivation for developing this framework stems from the limitations of traditional subjective measures, which are often influenced by individual perceptions and can vary significantly between air traffic controllers. Subjective measures may also fail to capture real-time operational demands, especially in complex, high-density environments such as Singapore TMA. By focusing on operational outcomes—specifically vectoring and holding patterns—the framework provides a more accurate reflection of real-time complexity. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and k-means clustering are employed to classify complexity levels based on trajectory features such as arc lengths, curvatures, and holding durations. The results show that total arc lengths and curvatures are significant complexity factors, with extensive vectoring contributing more to TMA complexity than holding patterns. The significance of this work lies in its data-driven and objective approach to measuring air traffic complexity, offering a more accurate reflection of real-time demands compared to traditional subjective methods. Quantitative evaluations across multiple real-world scenarios validate the framework's effectiveness, showing that TMA complexity is more strongly associated with vectoring intensity and holding patterns than with flight density alone. This current framework can be extended to incorporate vertical profiles of arrival and departure flights and develop predictive models with practical, actionable lookahead times for real-time air traffic management. Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS) National Research Foundation (NRF) Published version This research is supported by the National Research Foundation, Singapore, and the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore, under the Aviation Transformation Programme. 2024-12-26T07:42:44Z 2024-12-26T07:42:44Z 2024 Conference Paper Lim, Z. J., Dhief, I., Pham, D., Alam, S. & Delahaye, D. (2024). A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area. SESAR Innovation Days 2024, 2024-081. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/181825 https://www.sesarju.eu/SIDS2024 2024-081 en © 2024 SESAR 3 Joint Undertaking. All rights reserved. This article may be downloaded for personal use only. Any other use requires prior permission of the copyright holder. The Version of Record is available online at https://www.sesarju.eu/SIDS2024. application/pdf
spellingShingle Computer and Information Science
Engineering
Air traffic management
Terminal manoeuvring area
Complexity
Data-driven
Unsupervised machine learning
Clustering
Lim, Zhi Jun
Dhief, Imen
Pham, Duc-Thinh
Alam, Sameer
Delahaye, Daniel
A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title_full A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title_fullStr A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title_full_unstemmed A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title_short A data-driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
title_sort data driven framework for modelling complexity in terminal manoeuvring area
topic Computer and Information Science
Engineering
Air traffic management
Terminal manoeuvring area
Complexity
Data-driven
Unsupervised machine learning
Clustering
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/181825
https://www.sesarju.eu/SIDS2024
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