Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between oil price fluctuations and three macroeconomic variables; economic output, inflation and unemployment rate for countries in ASEAN, the Asian-Oceanic region and South Asia. The key findings of this study indicate a positive impact of oi...

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Main Authors: Katrina Marian Fernandez., Kamika Jha., Noor Fatein Binte Jam’an.
Other Authors: Chang Youngho
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/44331
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author Katrina Marian Fernandez.
Kamika Jha.
Noor Fatein Binte Jam’an.
author2 Chang Youngho
author_facet Chang Youngho
Katrina Marian Fernandez.
Kamika Jha.
Noor Fatein Binte Jam’an.
author_sort Katrina Marian Fernandez.
collection NTU
description The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between oil price fluctuations and three macroeconomic variables; economic output, inflation and unemployment rate for countries in ASEAN, the Asian-Oceanic region and South Asia. The key findings of this study indicate a positive impact of oil prices on the GDP of oil exporting countries; a short-run negative impact of an oil price shock to the GDP of small, open economies and an ambiguous effect of oil on the GDP for fast growing, large economies. There are no clear patterns in the relationships between oil price and the two remaining variables, CPI and unemployment. The empirical results show that the oil price-GDP relationship is significantly different for categories of countries with varied economic characteristics. Interestingly, small and open economies show that despite that the initial slowdown in GDP, economic activity recovers in the long-run, after an oil price shock. This may be attributed to the fact that their main trading partners are not greatly affected by oil price shocks, as supported by past studies.
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spelling ntu-10356/443312019-12-10T12:32:04Z Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies. Katrina Marian Fernandez. Kamika Jha. Noor Fatein Binte Jam’an. Chang Youngho School of Humanities and Social Sciences DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between oil price fluctuations and three macroeconomic variables; economic output, inflation and unemployment rate for countries in ASEAN, the Asian-Oceanic region and South Asia. The key findings of this study indicate a positive impact of oil prices on the GDP of oil exporting countries; a short-run negative impact of an oil price shock to the GDP of small, open economies and an ambiguous effect of oil on the GDP for fast growing, large economies. There are no clear patterns in the relationships between oil price and the two remaining variables, CPI and unemployment. The empirical results show that the oil price-GDP relationship is significantly different for categories of countries with varied economic characteristics. Interestingly, small and open economies show that despite that the initial slowdown in GDP, economic activity recovers in the long-run, after an oil price shock. This may be attributed to the fact that their main trading partners are not greatly affected by oil price shocks, as supported by past studies. Bachelor of Arts 2011-06-01T02:24:51Z 2011-06-01T02:24:51Z 2011 2011 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/44331 en Nanyang Technological University 93 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory
Katrina Marian Fernandez.
Kamika Jha.
Noor Fatein Binte Jam’an.
Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title_full Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title_fullStr Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title_full_unstemmed Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title_short Oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in Asian and Oceanic economies.
title_sort oil price fluctuations and macroeconomic performance in asian and oceanic economies
topic DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory
url http://hdl.handle.net/10356/44331
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