Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality

This paper examines the causal relationships between labour force education levels and real GDP per capita, as well as average real wages in Singapore from 1980 to 2009. As investment in education is generally costly and any potential benefits are not immediately realised or observable, it is of eco...

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Main Authors: Ang, Hock Yick, Pan, Zheng Hong, Lim, Sajeev Prasad
Other Authors: Chew Seow Lung, Rosalind
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48614
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author Ang, Hock Yick
Pan, Zheng Hong
Lim, Sajeev Prasad
author2 Chew Seow Lung, Rosalind
author_facet Chew Seow Lung, Rosalind
Ang, Hock Yick
Pan, Zheng Hong
Lim, Sajeev Prasad
author_sort Ang, Hock Yick
collection NTU
description This paper examines the causal relationships between labour force education levels and real GDP per capita, as well as average real wages in Singapore from 1980 to 2009. As investment in education is generally costly and any potential benefits are not immediately realised or observable, it is of economic value to determine if investment in education yields positive returns; both at the macro level, in terms of economic growth, and at the micro level, in terms of wages. We begin with a preliminary analysis on the trends and correlation of these variables and follow up by conducting an empirical analysis on them. To determine the causal relationships, we employ the Granger causality test. The empirical results show evidence of positive unidirectional causality from labour force education levels to real GDP per capita and from average real wages to labour force education levels. Lastly, we discuss possible explanations for the results above.
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spelling ntu-10356/486142019-12-10T13:22:21Z Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality Ang, Hock Yick Pan, Zheng Hong Lim, Sajeev Prasad Chew Seow Lung, Rosalind School of Humanities and Social Sciences DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory::Macroeconomics This paper examines the causal relationships between labour force education levels and real GDP per capita, as well as average real wages in Singapore from 1980 to 2009. As investment in education is generally costly and any potential benefits are not immediately realised or observable, it is of economic value to determine if investment in education yields positive returns; both at the macro level, in terms of economic growth, and at the micro level, in terms of wages. We begin with a preliminary analysis on the trends and correlation of these variables and follow up by conducting an empirical analysis on them. To determine the causal relationships, we employ the Granger causality test. The empirical results show evidence of positive unidirectional causality from labour force education levels to real GDP per capita and from average real wages to labour force education levels. Lastly, we discuss possible explanations for the results above. Bachelor of Arts 2012-04-27T06:47:00Z 2012-04-27T06:47:00Z 2012 2012 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48614 en Nanyang Technological University 60 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory::Macroeconomics
Ang, Hock Yick
Pan, Zheng Hong
Lim, Sajeev Prasad
Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title_full Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title_fullStr Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title_full_unstemmed Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title_short Educational level, GDP & wages : a study on the direction of causality
title_sort educational level gdp wages a study on the direction of causality
topic DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory::Macroeconomics
url http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48614
work_keys_str_mv AT anghockyick educationallevelgdpwagesastudyonthedirectionofcausality
AT panzhenghong educationallevelgdpwagesastudyonthedirectionofcausality
AT limsajeevprasad educationallevelgdpwagesastudyonthedirectionofcausality