The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach
This study examines the impacts of several macroeconomic factors including the real GDP per capita, housing loan rate, housing supply and foreign population rate and the government housing policies on the Singapore public resale and condominium markets using the quarterly data from 1991 quarter 1 to...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Final Year Project (FYP) |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2012
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48888 |
| _version_ | 1826111189139062784 |
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| author | Li, Jucai Zhang, Xiuya Yue, Mu |
| author2 | Wang Wei Siang |
| author_facet | Wang Wei Siang Li, Jucai Zhang, Xiuya Yue, Mu |
| author_sort | Li, Jucai |
| collection | NTU |
| description | This study examines the impacts of several macroeconomic factors including the real GDP per capita, housing loan rate, housing supply and foreign population rate and the government housing policies on the Singapore public resale and condominium markets using the quarterly data from 1991 quarter 1 to 2011 quarter 1. The empirical study applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach for estimating models of long run price determination and short run price dynamics. A new method is adopted to define the dummy variables for the government housing policies so that the initial and subsequent policy effects could be evaluated separately. The results show that there are long run relationships among the housing prices and the examined macroeconomic factors and housing policies in both markets. In particular, the public resale market is mainly affected by the housing policies, while the condominium market is influenced by both the macroeconomic factors and the housing policies. Furthermore, in both markets, the error correction models show that the short run price deviations can be corrected to the long run equilibriums through the negatively significant error correction terms. |
| first_indexed | 2024-10-01T02:46:37Z |
| format | Final Year Project (FYP) |
| id | ntu-10356/48888 |
| institution | Nanyang Technological University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-10-01T02:46:37Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | ntu-10356/488882019-12-10T12:17:14Z The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach Li, Jucai Zhang, Xiuya Yue, Mu Wang Wei Siang School of Humanities and Social Sciences DRNTU::Humanities This study examines the impacts of several macroeconomic factors including the real GDP per capita, housing loan rate, housing supply and foreign population rate and the government housing policies on the Singapore public resale and condominium markets using the quarterly data from 1991 quarter 1 to 2011 quarter 1. The empirical study applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach for estimating models of long run price determination and short run price dynamics. A new method is adopted to define the dummy variables for the government housing policies so that the initial and subsequent policy effects could be evaluated separately. The results show that there are long run relationships among the housing prices and the examined macroeconomic factors and housing policies in both markets. In particular, the public resale market is mainly affected by the housing policies, while the condominium market is influenced by both the macroeconomic factors and the housing policies. Furthermore, in both markets, the error correction models show that the short run price deviations can be corrected to the long run equilibriums through the negatively significant error correction terms. Bachelor of Arts 2012-05-10T07:22:30Z 2012-05-10T07:22:30Z 2012 2012 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48888 en Nanyang Technological University 40 p. application/pdf |
| spellingShingle | DRNTU::Humanities Li, Jucai Zhang, Xiuya Yue, Mu The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title | The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title_full | The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title_fullStr | The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title_full_unstemmed | The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title_short | The effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on Singapore housing market : an ARDL approach |
| title_sort | effects of housing policies and macroeconomic factors on singapore housing market an ardl approach |
| topic | DRNTU::Humanities |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10356/48888 |
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