The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.

This paper aims to provide a qualitative as well as a quantitative analysis of the determinants that caused the Greek public debt problem. It will also serve as an interesting case study on lessons on public debt for developing economies. Firstly, we will give a brief introduction to the background...

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Principais autores: Loh, Shell Chi., Shen, Xueqi.
Outros Autores: Tan Kim Heng
Formato: Final Year Project (FYP)
Idioma:English
Publicado em: 2013
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/51675
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author Loh, Shell Chi.
Shen, Xueqi.
author2 Tan Kim Heng
author_facet Tan Kim Heng
Loh, Shell Chi.
Shen, Xueqi.
author_sort Loh, Shell Chi.
collection NTU
description This paper aims to provide a qualitative as well as a quantitative analysis of the determinants that caused the Greek public debt problem. It will also serve as an interesting case study on lessons on public debt for developing economies. Firstly, we will give a brief introduction to the background of the Greek economy, which will be useful in understanding the fundamental causes that resulted in the Greek debt crisis. Throughout the years, Greece has been experiencing the twin deficits (government budget deficit and current account deficit) since the 1980s. These deficits were masked by the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate of 3 per cent on average. The Global Financial Crisis and the announcement in 2009 by finance minister George Papakonstantinou exposed the Greek debt problem, which resulted in Greece being unable to roll over its debt. It had detrimental consequences on the economy such as deep recession, high unemployment rate and bank runs. Using quarterly data from 2001 to 2012, we found that the interest rate and output growth rate are statistically significant factors affecting Greece’s debt-GDP ratio. As the result may be affected by the sample period, the primary deficit ratio is not found to be statistically significant as the fundamental cause of the debt-GDP ratio. The paper suggests that policy can focus on growing the economy by improving competitiveness and productivity. However, more research is required to determine the specific industries to target.
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spelling ntu-10356/516752019-12-10T11:08:54Z The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies. Loh, Shell Chi. Shen, Xueqi. Tan Kim Heng School of Humanities and Social Sciences DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory This paper aims to provide a qualitative as well as a quantitative analysis of the determinants that caused the Greek public debt problem. It will also serve as an interesting case study on lessons on public debt for developing economies. Firstly, we will give a brief introduction to the background of the Greek economy, which will be useful in understanding the fundamental causes that resulted in the Greek debt crisis. Throughout the years, Greece has been experiencing the twin deficits (government budget deficit and current account deficit) since the 1980s. These deficits were masked by the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate of 3 per cent on average. The Global Financial Crisis and the announcement in 2009 by finance minister George Papakonstantinou exposed the Greek debt problem, which resulted in Greece being unable to roll over its debt. It had detrimental consequences on the economy such as deep recession, high unemployment rate and bank runs. Using quarterly data from 2001 to 2012, we found that the interest rate and output growth rate are statistically significant factors affecting Greece’s debt-GDP ratio. As the result may be affected by the sample period, the primary deficit ratio is not found to be statistically significant as the fundamental cause of the debt-GDP ratio. The paper suggests that policy can focus on growing the economy by improving competitiveness and productivity. However, more research is required to determine the specific industries to target. Bachelor of Arts 2013-04-08T06:56:23Z 2013-04-08T06:56:23Z 2013 2013 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/51675 en Nanyang Technological University 51 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory
Loh, Shell Chi.
Shen, Xueqi.
The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title_full The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title_fullStr The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title_full_unstemmed The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title_short The Greek sovereign debt crisis : lessons for developing economies.
title_sort greek sovereign debt crisis lessons for developing economies
topic DRNTU::Social sciences::Economic theory
url http://hdl.handle.net/10356/51675
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