Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns

There have been significant advances in the use of computational methods for the design of underground rock caverns over the last thirty to forty years. One limitation of the conventional deterministic design approach is that the stochastic nature of the rock mass properties, the in situ stress fiel...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Zhang, Wengang
Other Authors: Goh Teck Chee, Anthony
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/55198
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author Zhang, Wengang
author2 Goh Teck Chee, Anthony
author_facet Goh Teck Chee, Anthony
Zhang, Wengang
author_sort Zhang, Wengang
collection NTU
description There have been significant advances in the use of computational methods for the design of underground rock caverns over the last thirty to forty years. One limitation of the conventional deterministic design approach is that the stochastic nature of the rock mass properties, the in situ stress fields and the geometrical complexities cannot be taken into account explicitly. In contrast, these uncertainties can be accounted for by adopting probabilistic methods. This thesis is intended to systematically carry out probabilistic analysis on underground rock cavern(s), with five aims. The first one is to develop a deterministic framework of combining numerical and empirical design approaches for analyzing the performance of the cavern(s). The second aim is to build predictive models for cavern(s) performance estimation. The third is to develop a probabilistic framework incorporating the limit state functions into reliability assessment methods to perform reliability analysis. The fourth aim is to investigate different approaches of developing surrogate models for implicit performance functions, and demonstrate the use of these surrogate models coupled with reliability methods. The final aim is to illustrate a rational and practical approach to assess the system reliability for cavern(s) design.
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spelling ntu-10356/551982023-03-03T19:35:20Z Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns Zhang, Wengang Goh Teck Chee, Anthony School of Civil and Environmental Engineering DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Geotechnical There have been significant advances in the use of computational methods for the design of underground rock caverns over the last thirty to forty years. One limitation of the conventional deterministic design approach is that the stochastic nature of the rock mass properties, the in situ stress fields and the geometrical complexities cannot be taken into account explicitly. In contrast, these uncertainties can be accounted for by adopting probabilistic methods. This thesis is intended to systematically carry out probabilistic analysis on underground rock cavern(s), with five aims. The first one is to develop a deterministic framework of combining numerical and empirical design approaches for analyzing the performance of the cavern(s). The second aim is to build predictive models for cavern(s) performance estimation. The third is to develop a probabilistic framework incorporating the limit state functions into reliability assessment methods to perform reliability analysis. The fourth aim is to investigate different approaches of developing surrogate models for implicit performance functions, and demonstrate the use of these surrogate models coupled with reliability methods. The final aim is to illustrate a rational and practical approach to assess the system reliability for cavern(s) design. Doctor of Philosophy (CEE) 2013-12-30T02:55:56Z 2013-12-30T02:55:56Z 2013 2013 Thesis Zhang, W. (2013). Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns. Doctoral thesis, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/55198 10.32657/10356/55198 en 303 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Geotechnical
Zhang, Wengang
Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title_full Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title_fullStr Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title_short Probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
title_sort probabilistic risk assessment of underground rock caverns
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering::Geotechnical
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/55198
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangwengang probabilisticriskassessmentofundergroundrockcaverns