An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading

Fuzzy neural networks are often used for modelling dynamic data streams and the systems keep evolving from offline to online, innovating and adding new schemes to address each individual issue of sparsity, non-linearity and time-variants in the datasets. The research has been widely applied to diffe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Zeng, Ye
Other Authors: Quek Hiok Chai
Format: Final Year Project (FYP)
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/66662
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author Zeng, Ye
author2 Quek Hiok Chai
author_facet Quek Hiok Chai
Zeng, Ye
author_sort Zeng, Ye
collection NTU
description Fuzzy neural networks are often used for modelling dynamic data streams and the systems keep evolving from offline to online, innovating and adding new schemes to address each individual issue of sparsity, non-linearity and time-variants in the datasets. The research has been widely applied to different areas such as traffic control, flood or rain prediction and financial worlds. In particular, it is topical to model the data in financial markets. However, many existing systems are incapable of handling sparse and dynamic time series data streams such as option trading data in the financial markets. Interpolation and extrapolation are one of the most popular techniques in handling the sparsity in the datasets. Inspired by the research by Huang [76] and Chen [91], this paper extends the established work of Tung [90] with interpolation/extrapolation technique. This equips the existing system from Tung [90] with the ability of handling sparse data and invoking interpolation when concept drift or shift is detected. The proposed model is named as Evolving Type-2 Neural Fuzzy Inference System with Fuzzy Rule Interpolation (eT2FIS++). Inherited the properties of eT2FIS, eT2FIS++ has the following advantages: 1) it is an incremental learning system; 2) it has the known noise resistance capability; 3) it ensures a compact and up-to-date rule base; 4) it is able to handle concept drift via interpolation even in sparse environment. The proposed eT2FIS++ model is benchmarked against several models by using datasets with different properties. It is then deployed in an intelligent trading system that is used for option straddle trading. The results are very encouraging.
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spelling ntu-10356/666622023-03-03T20:35:57Z An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading Zeng, Ye Quek Hiok Chai School of Computer Engineering Centre for Computational Intelligence DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering::Computing methodologies::Artificial intelligence Fuzzy neural networks are often used for modelling dynamic data streams and the systems keep evolving from offline to online, innovating and adding new schemes to address each individual issue of sparsity, non-linearity and time-variants in the datasets. The research has been widely applied to different areas such as traffic control, flood or rain prediction and financial worlds. In particular, it is topical to model the data in financial markets. However, many existing systems are incapable of handling sparse and dynamic time series data streams such as option trading data in the financial markets. Interpolation and extrapolation are one of the most popular techniques in handling the sparsity in the datasets. Inspired by the research by Huang [76] and Chen [91], this paper extends the established work of Tung [90] with interpolation/extrapolation technique. This equips the existing system from Tung [90] with the ability of handling sparse data and invoking interpolation when concept drift or shift is detected. The proposed model is named as Evolving Type-2 Neural Fuzzy Inference System with Fuzzy Rule Interpolation (eT2FIS++). Inherited the properties of eT2FIS, eT2FIS++ has the following advantages: 1) it is an incremental learning system; 2) it has the known noise resistance capability; 3) it ensures a compact and up-to-date rule base; 4) it is able to handle concept drift via interpolation even in sparse environment. The proposed eT2FIS++ model is benchmarked against several models by using datasets with different properties. It is then deployed in an intelligent trading system that is used for option straddle trading. The results are very encouraging. Bachelor of Engineering (Computer Science) 2016-04-20T07:42:37Z 2016-04-20T07:42:37Z 2016 Final Year Project (FYP) http://hdl.handle.net/10356/66662 en Nanyang Technological University 81 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering::Computing methodologies::Artificial intelligence
Zeng, Ye
An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title_full An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title_fullStr An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title_full_unstemmed An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title_short An evolving type-2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation (eT2FIS++) with its application in straddle option trading
title_sort evolving type 2 neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy rule interpolation et2fis with its application in straddle option trading
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering::Computing methodologies::Artificial intelligence
url http://hdl.handle.net/10356/66662
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