PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection

This article proposes a novel online portfolio selection strategy named “Passive Aggressive Mean Reversion” (PAMR). Unlike traditional trend following approaches, the proposed approach relies upon the mean reversion relation of financial markets. Equipped with online passive aggressive learning tech...

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Main Authors: Li, Bin, Zhao, Peilin, Gopalkrishnan, Vivekanand, Hoi, Steven C. H.
Other Authors: School of Computer Engineering
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/79730
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/18316
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author Li, Bin
Zhao, Peilin
Gopalkrishnan, Vivekanand
Hoi, Steven C. H.
author2 School of Computer Engineering
author_facet School of Computer Engineering
Li, Bin
Zhao, Peilin
Gopalkrishnan, Vivekanand
Hoi, Steven C. H.
author_sort Li, Bin
collection NTU
description This article proposes a novel online portfolio selection strategy named “Passive Aggressive Mean Reversion” (PAMR). Unlike traditional trend following approaches, the proposed approach relies upon the mean reversion relation of financial markets. Equipped with online passive aggressive learning technique from machine learning, the proposed portfolio selection strategy can effectively exploit the mean reversion property of markets. By analyzing PAMR’s update scheme, we find that it nicely trades off between portfolio return and volatility risk and reflects the mean reversion trading principle. We also present several variants of PAMR algorithm, including a mixture algorithm which mixes PAMR and other strategies. We conduct extensive numerical experiments to evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed algorithms on various real datasets. The encouraging results show that in most cases the proposed PAMR strategy outperforms all benchmarks and almost all state-of-the-art portfolio selection strategies under various performance metrics. In addition to its superior performance, the proposed PAMR runs extremely fast and thus is very suitable for real-life online trading applications. The experimental testbed including source codes and data sets is available at http://www.cais.ntu.edu.sg/~chhoi/PAMR/.
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spelling ntu-10356/797302020-05-28T07:18:27Z PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection Li, Bin Zhao, Peilin Gopalkrishnan, Vivekanand Hoi, Steven C. H. School of Computer Engineering DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering This article proposes a novel online portfolio selection strategy named “Passive Aggressive Mean Reversion” (PAMR). Unlike traditional trend following approaches, the proposed approach relies upon the mean reversion relation of financial markets. Equipped with online passive aggressive learning technique from machine learning, the proposed portfolio selection strategy can effectively exploit the mean reversion property of markets. By analyzing PAMR’s update scheme, we find that it nicely trades off between portfolio return and volatility risk and reflects the mean reversion trading principle. We also present several variants of PAMR algorithm, including a mixture algorithm which mixes PAMR and other strategies. We conduct extensive numerical experiments to evaluate the empirical performance of the proposed algorithms on various real datasets. The encouraging results show that in most cases the proposed PAMR strategy outperforms all benchmarks and almost all state-of-the-art portfolio selection strategies under various performance metrics. In addition to its superior performance, the proposed PAMR runs extremely fast and thus is very suitable for real-life online trading applications. The experimental testbed including source codes and data sets is available at http://www.cais.ntu.edu.sg/~chhoi/PAMR/. Accepted version 2013-12-18T06:46:50Z 2019-12-06T13:32:57Z 2013-12-18T06:46:50Z 2019-12-06T13:32:57Z 2012 2012 Journal Article Li, B., Zhao, P., Hoi, S. C. H., & Gopalkrishnan, V. (2012). PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection. Machine learning, 87(2), 221-258. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/79730 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/18316 10.1007/s10994-012-5281-z en Machine learning © The Author(s) 2012. application/pdf application/octet-stream application/pdf application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering
Li, Bin
Zhao, Peilin
Gopalkrishnan, Vivekanand
Hoi, Steven C. H.
PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title_full PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title_fullStr PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title_full_unstemmed PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title_short PAMR : passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
title_sort pamr passive aggressive mean reversion strategy for portfolio selection
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Computer science and engineering
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/79730
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/18316
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AT gopalkrishnanvivekanand pamrpassiveaggressivemeanreversionstrategyforportfolioselection
AT hoistevench pamrpassiveaggressivemeanreversionstrategyforportfolioselection