Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe
The explosive Zika virus epidemic in the Americas is amplifying spread of this emerging pathogen into previously unaffected regions of the world, including Europe (Gulland, 2016), where local populations are immunologically naïve. As summertime approaches in the northern hemisphere, Aedes mosquitoes...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2016
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82126 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/41129 |
| _version_ | 1811683671042686976 |
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| author | Rocklöv, Joacim Quam, Mikkel Brandon Sudre, Bertrand German, Matthew Kraemer, Moritz U.G. Brady, Oliver Bogoch, Isaac I. Liu-Helmersson, Jing Wilder-Smith, Annelies Semenza, Jan C. Ong, Mark Aaslav, Kaja Kaasik Khan, Kamran |
| author2 | Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine) |
| author_facet | Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine) Rocklöv, Joacim Quam, Mikkel Brandon Sudre, Bertrand German, Matthew Kraemer, Moritz U.G. Brady, Oliver Bogoch, Isaac I. Liu-Helmersson, Jing Wilder-Smith, Annelies Semenza, Jan C. Ong, Mark Aaslav, Kaja Kaasik Khan, Kamran |
| author_sort | Rocklöv, Joacim |
| collection | NTU |
| description | The explosive Zika virus epidemic in the Americas is amplifying spread of this emerging pathogen into previously unaffected regions of the world, including Europe (Gulland, 2016), where local populations are immunologically naïve. As summertime approaches in the northern hemisphere, Aedes mosquitoes in Europe may find suitable climatic conditions to acquire and subsequently transmit Zika virus from viremic travellers to local populations. While Aedes albopictus has proven to be a vector for the transmission of dengue and chikungunya viruses in Europe (Delisle et al., 2015; ECDC, n.d.) there is growing experimental and ecological evidence to suggest that it may also be competent for Zika virus(Chouin-Carneiro et al., 2016; Grard et al., 2014; Li et al., 2012; Wong et al., 2013). Here we analyze and overlay the monthly flows of airline travellers arriving into European cities from Zika affected areas across the Americas, the predicted monthly estimates of the basic reproduction number of Zika virus in areas where Aedes mosquito populations reside in Europe (Aedes aegypti in Madeira, Portugal and Ae. albopictus in continental Europe), and human populations living within areas where mosquito-borne transmission of Zika virus may be possible. We highlight specific geographic areas and timing of risk for Zika virus introduction and possible spread within Europe to inform the efficient use of human disease surveillance, vector surveillance and control, and public education resources. |
| first_indexed | 2024-10-01T04:16:26Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | ntu-10356/82126 |
| institution | Nanyang Technological University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-10-01T04:16:26Z |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | ntu-10356/821262022-02-16T16:28:28Z Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe Rocklöv, Joacim Quam, Mikkel Brandon Sudre, Bertrand German, Matthew Kraemer, Moritz U.G. Brady, Oliver Bogoch, Isaac I. Liu-Helmersson, Jing Wilder-Smith, Annelies Semenza, Jan C. Ong, Mark Aaslav, Kaja Kaasik Khan, Kamran Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine) ZIKV Zika The explosive Zika virus epidemic in the Americas is amplifying spread of this emerging pathogen into previously unaffected regions of the world, including Europe (Gulland, 2016), where local populations are immunologically naïve. As summertime approaches in the northern hemisphere, Aedes mosquitoes in Europe may find suitable climatic conditions to acquire and subsequently transmit Zika virus from viremic travellers to local populations. While Aedes albopictus has proven to be a vector for the transmission of dengue and chikungunya viruses in Europe (Delisle et al., 2015; ECDC, n.d.) there is growing experimental and ecological evidence to suggest that it may also be competent for Zika virus(Chouin-Carneiro et al., 2016; Grard et al., 2014; Li et al., 2012; Wong et al., 2013). Here we analyze and overlay the monthly flows of airline travellers arriving into European cities from Zika affected areas across the Americas, the predicted monthly estimates of the basic reproduction number of Zika virus in areas where Aedes mosquito populations reside in Europe (Aedes aegypti in Madeira, Portugal and Ae. albopictus in continental Europe), and human populations living within areas where mosquito-borne transmission of Zika virus may be possible. We highlight specific geographic areas and timing of risk for Zika virus introduction and possible spread within Europe to inform the efficient use of human disease surveillance, vector surveillance and control, and public education resources. Published version 2016-08-15T06:57:56Z 2019-12-06T14:47:11Z 2016-08-15T06:57:56Z 2019-12-06T14:47:11Z 2016 Journal Article Rocklöv, J., Quam, M. B., Sudre, B., German, M., Kraemer, M. U., Brady, O., et al. (2016). Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe. EBioMedicine, 9, 250-256. 2352-3964 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82126 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/41129 10.1016/j.ebiom.2016.06.009 27344225 en EBioMedicine © 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). 7 p. application/pdf |
| spellingShingle | ZIKV Zika Rocklöv, Joacim Quam, Mikkel Brandon Sudre, Bertrand German, Matthew Kraemer, Moritz U.G. Brady, Oliver Bogoch, Isaac I. Liu-Helmersson, Jing Wilder-Smith, Annelies Semenza, Jan C. Ong, Mark Aaslav, Kaja Kaasik Khan, Kamran Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title | Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title_full | Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title_fullStr | Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title_short | Assessing Seasonal Risks for the Introduction and Mosquito-borne Spread of Zika Virus in Europe |
| title_sort | assessing seasonal risks for the introduction and mosquito borne spread of zika virus in europe |
| topic | ZIKV Zika |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82126 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/41129 |
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