Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application

Electric Vehicles (EVs) have emerged as a promising solution to reduce oil dependency and environmental impacts from the transportation segment. They can also be used as distributed energy resources providing ancillary services to the Grid through Vehicle-to-grid (V2G). EV availability estimati...

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Main Authors: Lav, Agarwal, Wang, Peng, Lalit, Goel
Other Authors: School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Format: Conference Paper
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82345
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/39955
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author Lav, Agarwal
Wang, Peng
Lalit, Goel
author2 School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
author_facet School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Lav, Agarwal
Wang, Peng
Lalit, Goel
author_sort Lav, Agarwal
collection NTU
description Electric Vehicles (EVs) have emerged as a promising solution to reduce oil dependency and environmental impacts from the transportation segment. They can also be used as distributed energy resources providing ancillary services to the Grid through Vehicle-to-grid (V2G). EV availability estimation is the first step in determining the capacity for V2G operation. The main challenges in determining the Aggregate Power Capacity (APC) lies in the prediction of the vehicle availability and the plug-in probability. While the vehicle availability solely depends on the driving pattern of the EV owner, the plug-in probability depends on the availability of plugs at car park and plug-in human behavior. This paper models the stochastic mobility and plug-in probability of a fleet of EVs. The Aggregator model is realized using an infrastructure of contracted car parks at offices, recreational places and dispersed EVs at homes. Mobility is modeled using Trip Chaining and EV Driving patterns are profiled based on data from survey conducted, employment pattern and vehicular statistics. The Availability Probability Table (APT) is plotted to track the availability of each EV, considering EV reliability and traffic congestion index. The proposed models are tested and analyzed using Singapore data.
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spelling ntu-10356/823452020-03-07T13:24:44Z Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application Lav, Agarwal Wang, Peng Lalit, Goel School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS) Electric Vehicle (EV); Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G); Aggregator; SOC; Driving pattern; Aggregate power capacity Electric Vehicles (EVs) have emerged as a promising solution to reduce oil dependency and environmental impacts from the transportation segment. They can also be used as distributed energy resources providing ancillary services to the Grid through Vehicle-to-grid (V2G). EV availability estimation is the first step in determining the capacity for V2G operation. The main challenges in determining the Aggregate Power Capacity (APC) lies in the prediction of the vehicle availability and the plug-in probability. While the vehicle availability solely depends on the driving pattern of the EV owner, the plug-in probability depends on the availability of plugs at car park and plug-in human behavior. This paper models the stochastic mobility and plug-in probability of a fleet of EVs. The Aggregator model is realized using an infrastructure of contracted car parks at offices, recreational places and dispersed EVs at homes. Mobility is modeled using Trip Chaining and EV Driving patterns are profiled based on data from survey conducted, employment pattern and vehicular statistics. The Availability Probability Table (APT) is plotted to track the availability of each EV, considering EV reliability and traffic congestion index. The proposed models are tested and analyzed using Singapore data. Accepted version 2016-02-11T03:42:02Z 2019-12-06T14:53:45Z 2016-02-11T03:42:02Z 2019-12-06T14:53:45Z 2014 Conference Paper Lav, A., Wang, P., & Lalit, G. (2014). Probabilistic estimation of aggregated power capacity of EVs for vehicle-to-grid application. 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 1-6. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82345 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/39955 10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960592 en © 2014 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works. The published version is available at: [http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960592]. application/pdf
spellingShingle Electric Vehicle (EV); Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G); Aggregator; SOC; Driving pattern; Aggregate power capacity
Lav, Agarwal
Wang, Peng
Lalit, Goel
Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title_full Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title_fullStr Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title_short Probabilistic Estimation of Aggregated Power Capacity of EVs for Vehicle-to-Grid Application
title_sort probabilistic estimation of aggregated power capacity of evs for vehicle to grid application
topic Electric Vehicle (EV); Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G); Aggregator; SOC; Driving pattern; Aggregate power capacity
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/82345
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/39955
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